NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	3.1 [1145]		MVP	Eric Maynor (OKC): +11.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hasheem Thabeet	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	16	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.06	21	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.02	0.07	12	52%	-0.05	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	8	88%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	18	76%	0.17	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	10	39%	0.02	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.7	30.0	18.6	33.6	3.7	34.2	152.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +46.3%

OKC +0.9%

OKC +3.9%

MEM -1.6%

OKC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.3	108.2	120.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.0		106.8	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.2	16.0	15.7	13.0	14.5
OKC	15.6	14.5	15.6	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lester Hudson	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	7.7	14.7	-7.04	19.5	15.4	4.15
DeMarre Carroll	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	11.0	14.8	-3.84	18.5	15.2	3.32
Sam Young	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-18	27	13.9	14.8	-0.87	16.2	15.1	1.10
Hamed Haddadi	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-1	-7	12.2	14.7	-2.55	16.2	15.5	0.77
Darrell Arthur	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	13.5	14.7	-1.18	16.9	15.3	1.62
Marcus Williams	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-5	1	13.2	14.9	-1.71	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	14.9	13.2	1.71	15.6	15.2	0.37
Hasheem Thabeet	72	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	14.7	13.9	0.81	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Zach Randolph	82	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	15.2	10.7	4.52	15.5	15.4	0.11
O.J. Mayo	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	9	-27	14.3	15.0	-0.61	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Rudy Gay	88	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	6	-21	15.0	9.2	5.80	15.0	20.3	-5.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	73	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	15.4	16.0	-0.68	15.0	12.9	2.10
Serge Ibaka	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	16.1	14.4	1.74	14.7	14.0	0.70
Eric Maynor	55	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	4	1	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Jeff Green	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	15.2	16.4	-1.24	14.5	14.4	0.16
James Harden	52	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	10	-11	16.7	14.1	2.66	13.6	15.5	-1.83
Russell Westbrook	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	14.6	16.5	-1.90	15.4	13.5	1.83
Etan Thomas	20	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-1	11	15.0	15.7	-0.67	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Thabo Sefolosha	54	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	15.1	16.1	-1.05	14.6	14.3	0.33
Nick Collison	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	2	5	14.3	16.1	-1.84	15.1	14.2	0.90
Byron Mullens	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	19.5	15.4	4.15	7.7	14.7	-7.04
DJ White	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	19.5	15.4	4.15	7.7	14.7	-7.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.2%
BKN 105, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 106, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.1%