NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	105		Excitement	4.1 [991]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +12.0%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.0 [1254]		LVP	KJ McDaniels (BKN): -7.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.01	0.08	9	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	17	94%	0.04
Justin Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	21	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	15	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Isaiah Whitehead	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
KJ McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	10	86%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	0.00	0.10	21	57%	0.02	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.5	15.4	28.5	2.4	29.6	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.9%

BKN -6.7%

BOS +7.1%

BKN -6.6%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	12.8	14.5	14.8	99.1	108.6	107.7
season	13.7	14.7		103.2	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.1	12.1	10.6	13.4	12.8
BOS	13.1	12.7	16.0	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-9	9	13.4	12.6	0.87	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Randy Foye	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-8	7	12.9	12.7	0.12	14.4	14.6	-0.14
Archie Goodwin	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-10	11	13.5	12.4	1.09	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Andrew Nicholson	15	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	14.7	12.5	2.28	15.2	14.4	0.85
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	14.0	12.2	1.74	15.6	14.0	1.52
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	84	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	12.4	14.1	-1.66	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Justin Hamilton	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	13.5	12.4	1.06	15.6	14.0	1.68
Caris LeVert	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	12.5	13.2	-0.70	14.7	14.3	0.43
Brook Lopez	78	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	12.4	13.7	-1.23	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Isaiah Whitehead	58	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	12.1	13.6	-1.56	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Jeremy Lin	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	1	-11	12.4	13.5	-1.09	14.7	14.2	0.48

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	-7	23	14.0	15.5	-1.47	12.6	13.0	-0.36
Jae Crowder	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	0	9	14.2	15.4	-1.21	12.7	12.9	-0.18
Al Horford	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	2	5	14.7	14.2	0.47	12.6	13.1	-0.55
Marcus Smart	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	6	-3	14.9	13.9	0.92	12.4	13.4	-0.97
Avery Bradley	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	2	5	14.4	14.9	-0.58	12.4	13.6	-1.21
Jonas Jerebko	28	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	6	-3	15.5	14.2	1.37	14.2	12.2	2.04
Amir Johnson	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-2	13	12.9	15.3	-2.35	13.2	12.6	0.68
Jaylen Brown	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	10	-11	15.4	14.1	1.35	13.6	12.3	1.30
Kelly Olynyk	33	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	7	-5	13.6	15.0	-1.40	13.5	12.4	1.03
Terry Rozier	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	13	-17	15.4	14.3	1.09	12.6	12.8	-0.25
Tyler Zeller	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	17	-25	17.7	14.0	3.66	10.7	13.1	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 105, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 84, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	96.1%