NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	84		Excitement	3.9 [631]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +7.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	1.0 [731]		LVP	Samaki Walker (DAL): -14.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.04	10	90%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	14	58%	0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	6	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	12	19%	-0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	88%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	11	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	0.0	15.5	25.4	1.7	31.2	104.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.8%

DAL -4.7%

POR +8.8%

POR +16.4%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.8	91.3	106.5	99.6
season	15.9	16.0		99.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	12.7	14.3	18.2	15.3
POR	13.8	14.8	18.5	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	9	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-20	25	14.2	15.4	-1.15	14.0	16.1	-2.10
A.C. Green	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-20	25	15.2	15.3	-0.08	18.8	14.6	4.17
Erick Strickland	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	14.4	15.4	-1.02	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Dirk Nowitzki	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-15	15	15.7	15.0	0.66	17.2	15.1	2.06
Hubert Davis	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-7	-1	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.3	15.7	0.56
Cedric Ceballos	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-8	1	14.6	15.5	-0.82	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Shawn Bradley	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.4	15.2	0.23	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Steve Nash	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-12	9	16.6	12.6	3.99	16.8	14.1	2.71
Hot Rod Williams	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-10	5	14.5	16.2	-1.71	16.1	15.6	0.53
Gary Trent	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	15.3	15.3	0.00	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Robert Pack	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-3	-9	12.6	16.6	-3.99	14.1	16.8	-2.71
Samaki Walker	44	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-4	-7	16.8	13.8	2.98	14.8	17.0	-2.15
Michael Finley	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	0	-15	14.6	18.5	-3.83	16.1	14.7	1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	16.2	14.9	1.25	15.6	14.0	1.55
Stacey Augmon	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	1	13	15.6	16.3	-0.66	15.9	14.2	1.66
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	3	9	16.5	14.4	2.01	15.5	14.7	0.84
Rasheed Wallace	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	2	11	14.6	17.2	-2.57	15.9	14.6	1.24
Isaiah Rider	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	10	-5	16.0	15.8	0.15	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Walt Williams	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	8	-1	16.5	15.1	1.39	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Brian Grant	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	13	-11	17.2	14.6	2.57	14.6	15.9	-1.24
Jim Jackson	38	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	15.3	16.3	-0.94	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Greg Anthony	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.01	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Kelvin Cato	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	16	-17	16.4	15.8	0.57	13.1	15.7	-2.58
Jermaine O'Neal	7	6	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	15	-15	12.0	16.2	-4.19	16.3	15.2	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DAL 94, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CLE 79, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	96.3%