NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	3.7 [1087]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +8.1%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.1 [1058]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -10.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	13	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	10	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	13	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	18	40%	-0.06	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	14	54%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	52%	0.01	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	10	39%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.4	15.8	24.7	1.7	30.2	125.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.7%

CLE -1.4%

CLE -4.4%

DET +3.4%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.4	88.8	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.7		102.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.6	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.5	15.1	14.7	16.7	16.1
DET	16.6	15.5	14.1	19.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	18.1	16.0	2.18	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Donald Sloan	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	14.3	17.5	-3.27	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Daniel Gibson	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-13	16	15.3	17.5	-2.23	16.3	16.2	0.09
CJ Miles	17	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.7	16.5	-1.77	17.6	15.9	1.67
Alonzo Gee	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-5	0	16.0	16.3	-0.33	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Tyler Zeller	36	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	15.7	16.4	-0.69	17.2	15.5	1.77
Tristan Thompson	63	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	16.1	16.2	-0.08	15.8	17.1	-1.35
Anderson Varejao	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	16.2	16.0	0.17	16.2	16.1	0.13
Omri Casspi	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.7	14.1	3.57	16.9	15.4	1.50
Jeremy Pargo	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	1	-12	17.5	14.3	3.27	16.5	15.7	0.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	59	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-4	18	16.4	15.8	0.64	17.4	13.5	3.93
Greg Monroe	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	1	8	16.0	17.0	-1.03	16.7	14.4	2.35
Brandon Knight	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	15.5	18.0	-2.47	16.3	15.8	0.46
Tayshaun Prince	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	4	2	16.2	16.3	-0.05	16.6	15.1	1.50
Jason Maxiell	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	0	10	16.3	16.2	0.08	17.2	14.8	2.34
Corey Maggette	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	16.5	16.1	0.42	15.1	16.7	-1.54
Rodney Stuckey	52	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.27	-3	13	-16	16.7	15.6	1.12	14.6	18.4	-3.88
Andre Drummond	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	16.7	15.9	0.86	14.7	17.2	-2.53
Charlie Villanueva	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	8	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.19	14.6	16.7	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHA 93, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 93, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%