inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 87 Excitement3.1 [1197] MVPJustise Winslow (MIA): +6.0%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback1.0 [620] LVPKyle Korver (ATL): -8.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051077%0.073-0.052100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.04662%0.0200.004100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01262%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Mike Muscala0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mike Scott0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Patterson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.001148%0.012-0.019100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.02-0.03657%0.025-0.0520%-0.01
Paul Millsap-0.050,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.000.000.061161%0.004-0.066100%0.01
Dennis Schroder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.021242%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.00-0.0460%-0.071-0.0210%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.03671%0.072-0.012100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011456%0.061-0.014100%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031457%0.051-0.01250%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01865%0.062-0.03475%-0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00360%0.022-0.024100%0.01
Udonis Haslem00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarnell Stokes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011253%0.033-0.04887%0.01
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00658%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.01-0.07743%0.024-0.0300%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.021041%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.632.514.729.21.733.0136.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +29.9%
MIA +1.5%
MIA +14.8%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game13.015.914.987.9105.0105.1
season14.215.5104.1104.5
opponent15.115.1103.1100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.613.513.011.813.0
MIA13.115.317.518.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala440.00-0.500.500.09-3-151213.213.00.2515.715.9-0.18
Shelvin Mack440.00-0.500.500.09-3-151213.213.00.2515.715.9-0.18
Lamar Patterson440.00-0.500.500.09-3-151213.213.00.2515.715.9-0.18
Tiago Splitter3129-0.05-0.450.40-0.298-263412.213.4-1.1417.215.41.86
Mike Scott1214-0.09-0.410.320.11-7-11414.312.81.5112.316.5-4.23
Dennis Schroder3840-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-192013.712.61.1817.215.02.22
Tim Hardaway Jr.4140-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-11413.512.70.8215.716.0-0.33
Thabo Sefolosha3636-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-141013.412.80.5516.115.80.26
Paul Millsap7273-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-9013.711.32.4116.315.01.31
Kent Bazemore7071-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-9012.614.0-1.3515.816.1-0.31
Jeff Teague5959-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-4-1012.314.1-1.8315.616.3-0.71
Kyle Korver5152-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-4-1012.913.1-0.1415.616.2-0.63
Al Horford7374-0.570.07-0.630.20-268-3412.614.0-1.3915.616.8-1.20

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh69700.410.090.33-0.061621415.916.0-0.1213.112.70.40
Goran Dragic49500.400.100.31-0.091711615.216.6-1.3212.813.2-0.42
Amar'e Stoudemire48470.320.180.14-0.151621414.916.8-1.8911.914.0-2.17
Justise Winslow66660.320.180.14-0.03126616.514.81.7113.711.72.02
Luol Deng67660.310.190.12-0.01117416.714.32.4112.813.4-0.58
Dwyane Wade60630.310.190.11-0.04126615.816.1-0.3812.513.9-1.47
Josh McRoberts36370.180.32-0.150.18018-1814.916.5-1.5214.212.31.88
Gerald Green45410.150.35-0.200.18-119-2016.015.80.1913.212.80.40
Beno Udrih51490.100.40-0.310.07117-1616.615.21.3213.212.80.42
Udonis Haslem320.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1415.715.9-0.2612.013.0-1.03
Josh Richardson320.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1415.715.9-0.2612.013.0-1.03
Jarnell Stokes320.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1415.715.9-0.2612.013.0-1.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 79, DET 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,196.7%
NYK 80, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
DAL 87, SAS 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%