NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	2.8 [1157]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +6.1%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.1 [885]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -14.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.11	24	64%	0.00	3	-0.04	18	78%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	16	39%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	17	6%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	15	63%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	25	52%	0.04	5	-0.05	11	73%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	31.2	20.7	23.2	2.6	30.2	135.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +56.4%

DAL -0.4%

DAL -3.0%

DAL -4.3%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	17.0	15.5	93.5	112.9	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.9	14.8	12.6	10.8	13.9
SAS	15.7	15.2	16.8	20.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	9.0	14.2	-5.16	19.7	16.9	2.84
Eduardo Najera	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-22	26	10.5	14.8	-4.28	18.9	16.5	2.44
Shawn Bradley	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-16	14	14.2	13.8	0.42	17.1	17.0	0.08
Calvin Booth	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-11	4	14.1	13.9	0.24	17.4	16.8	0.62
Greg Buckner	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-6	-6	13.6	14.1	-0.47	16.6	17.2	-0.54
Howard Eisley	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-7	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.86	18.0	15.7	2.35
Steve Nash	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-10	2	14.1	13.7	0.31	16.2	18.4	-2.24
Juwan Howard	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-6	-6	14.3	12.8	1.49	17.2	16.5	0.76
Dirk Nowitzki	90	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	0	-18	14.1	8.3	5.79	17.0	18.7	-1.69
Michael Finley	78	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	6	-30	14.6	10.7	3.82	16.1	21.0	-4.86

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	87	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-4	26	16.9	19.3	-2.46	14.1	11.0	3.10
Antonio Daniels	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	0	18	16.8	18.1	-1.28	14.5	11.7	2.76
Avery Johnson	50	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	4	10	17.8	16.1	1.70	14.2	13.7	0.50
David Robinson	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	7	4	17.1	17.0	0.05	14.2	13.5	0.64
Sean Elliott	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	8	2	16.9	17.1	-0.19	13.9	13.9	0.02
Danny Ferry	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	12	-6	17.2	16.8	0.32	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Terry Porter	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	12	-6	16.0	17.9	-1.93	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Malik Rose	36	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	16	-14	17.1	17.0	0.13	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Steve Kerr	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	16	-14	17.8	16.8	1.04	12.7	14.3	-1.64
Samaki Walker	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	17	-16	19.0	16.9	2.08	8.4	14.2	-5.85
Shawnelle Scott	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	19.5	17.0	2.52	3.0	14.1	-11.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MEM 70, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 98, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%