NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	3.5 [1119]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +18.3%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.1 [1291]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (DAL): -7.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	21	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	13	39%	-0.03	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.01	0.02	21	72%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	8	87%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	10	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	27.7	14.6	25.0	1.8	28.6	122.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.8%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +13.9%

DAL -4.5%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.3	95.9	107.1	109.3
season	14.7	14.8		108.5	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.1		110.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	15.3	13.1	16.3	15.2
SAS	13.5	12.3	15.2	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-12	13	13.9	15.7	-1.89	14.0	14.2	-0.17
Ryan Broekhoff	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	15.9	14.9	0.99	13.6	14.4	-0.73
Courtney Lee	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	13.9	16.3	-2.39	13.0	15.1	-2.03
Salah Mejri	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-9	7	14.3	15.7	-1.34	13.5	14.5	-1.07
Justin Jackson	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-7	3	14.2	16.6	-2.40	14.2	14.1	0.16
Dorian Finney-Smith	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-6	1	15.3	15.1	0.24	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Dirk Nowitzki	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	0	-11	15.7	14.3	1.42	14.5	13.5	1.00
Dwight Powell	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	15.7	14.3	1.34	14.5	13.5	1.07
Jalen Brunson	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	16.3	13.7	2.53	14.8	13.1	1.72
Devin Harris	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	15.7	14.1	1.67	14.3	13.8	0.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-10	31	13.7	15.1	-1.37	16.5	12.2	4.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-8	27	13.7	15.6	-1.94	15.6	14.0	1.57
Derrick White	56	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	-1	13	14.6	13.6	0.95	16.3	14.0	2.31
Bryn Forbes	53	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-1	13	14.6	13.6	0.96	16.2	14.2	2.03
Davis Bertans	42	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	4	3	14.2	14.1	0.05	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Rudy Gay	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	10	-9	14.0	14.4	-0.45	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Patty Mills	40	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	13.1	14.9	-1.75	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Marco Belinelli	37	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	13.1	14.8	-1.78	14.1	16.0	-1.82
Jakob Poeltl	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	15	-19	15.4	13.4	2.03	15.4	15.1	0.31
Lonnie Walker IV	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.17	-5	16	-21	15.1	14.1	1.05	10.7	15.6	-4.87
Drew Eubanks	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	17.8	14.0	3.83	12.6	15.4	-2.77
Quincy Pondexter	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	17.8	14.0	3.83	12.6	15.4	-2.77
Donatas Motiejunas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	17.8	14.0	3.83	12.6	15.4	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 81, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.76,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	96.5%
DAL 84, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 95, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%