NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	6.1 [635]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +40.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1077]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -22.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19	0.05	0.11	-0.03	16	53%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.02	0.17	0.04	11	58%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	15	68%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	4	100%	0.05	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	9	28%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	15	47%	-0.15	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.4	0.40	0.11	0.26	-0.03	19	64%	0.44	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.04
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.05
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	16	45%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	30.0	15.4	26.6	2.5	35.3	139.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -0.3%

LAL +28.1%

DAL -0.1%

LAL +14.5%

LAL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.1	14.3	105.6	107.5	109.3
season	14.7	13.5		108.5	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		108.7	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.5	13.1	13.8	11.6	14.0
LAL	11.8	12.6	12.9	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	46	46	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.39	20	-21	41	12.7	14.9	-2.21	13.7	12.6	1.08
J.J. Barea	57	56	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.68	28	-29	57	11.9	16.3	-4.48	14.1	11.9	2.24
Jalen Brunson	25	25	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-13	25	12.8	14.3	-1.50	14.3	12.7	1.56
Dwight Powell	38	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.27	13	-14	27	13.4	14.3	-0.91	13.7	12.7	1.02
Wesley Matthews	72	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-10	19	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.1	13.1	0.05
Harrison Barnes	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	20	-41	15.1	12.5	2.65	12.6	13.7	-1.08
Luka Doncic	62	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	12	-25	14.1	13.7	0.38	13.0	13.2	-0.17
Dorian Finney-Smith	56	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	9	-19	14.1	13.8	0.36	12.6	13.6	-1.01
DeAndre Jordan	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	13	-27	14.3	13.4	0.91	12.7	13.7	-1.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	50	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.20	-29	28	-57	16.3	11.9	4.48	11.9	14.1	-2.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-17	35	13.4	12.3	1.05	14.3	13.2	1.07
Lonzo Ball	73	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-14	29	13.1	13.0	0.08	14.5	12.9	1.57
Kyle Kuzma	66	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-11	23	13.4	12.5	0.94	14.3	13.3	0.98
LeBron James	86	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-4	9	13.2	12.5	0.72	14.3	12.6	1.66
Brandon Ingram	67	69	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-8	17	13.4	12.6	0.82	14.4	13.1	1.36
Johnathan Williams	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	3	-5	11.7	13.3	-1.65	17.1	13.4	3.70
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	49	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	11	-21	12.8	13.4	-0.61	12.5	15.1	-2.60
Lance Stephenson	22	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	9	-17	12.8	13.2	-0.34	12.3	14.4	-2.09
Josh Hart	36	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.26	-13	14	-27	11.9	13.7	-1.77	12.9	14.5	-1.64
Rajon Rondo	40	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.36	-21	22	-43	13.2	13.0	0.22	12.8	14.6	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 74, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 87, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 83, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%