NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	3.1 [1166]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +18.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	109		Comeback	1.0 [525]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	12	85%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	92%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	-0.02	0.12	10	74%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	14	32%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-0.09	9	10%	-0.07	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.04	0.03	25	65%	0.18	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	73%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	29.3	14.4	26.5	2.4	30.6	128.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.9%

CHA +1.4%

IND -0.7%

CHA +10.7%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.1	96.7	121.1	105.2
season	15.8	15.7		102.7	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	20.6	15.2	17.4	13.4	16.5
CHA	15.4	18.3	12.6	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	26	27	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.28	17	-39	56	14.5	17.3	-2.83	18.0	14.4	3.59
Rasual Butler	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	15.4	16.6	-1.25	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Lavoy Allen	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	16.6	16.5	0.09	17.0	15.4	1.60
Chris Copeland	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-16	10	13.4	17.6	-4.22	15.9	15.3	0.60
Evan Turner	59	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-22	22	14.5	20.4	-5.91	16.9	12.8	4.14
Donald Sloan	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-12	2	17.3	16.4	0.95	18.7	15.0	3.67
Ian Mahinmi	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-22	22	14.7	17.2	-2.56	16.9	14.9	1.96
Lance Stephenson	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-13	4	16.9	15.3	1.61	14.9	17.1	-2.17
Roy Hibbert	40	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-6	-10	19.5	14.1	5.47	14.3	16.4	-2.13
George Hill	59	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-13	4	17.6	14.4	3.19	14.8	16.8	-2.01
David West	59	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	0.34	-36	14	-50	17.4	14.8	2.55	14.2	17.8	-3.65
Paul George	64	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	0.39	-38	16	-54	17.0	15.4	1.53	14.9	16.8	-1.91

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	63	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.38	37	-15	52	14.7	17.2	-2.48	17.1	15.0	2.11
Al Jefferson	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.29	30	-8	38	14.6	17.9	-3.25	17.3	14.2	3.08
Chris Douglas-Roberts	54	52	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.20	26	-4	30	14.8	16.5	-1.69	17.7	14.9	2.80
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	27	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	1	20	12.3	16.8	-4.51	21.1	14.3	6.78
Cody Zeller	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	11	0	17.0	14.4	2.62	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Josh McRoberts	65	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	14	-6	14.7	17.5	-2.76	16.8	15.7	1.15
Gary Neal	46	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	23	-24	16.9	14.0	2.82	15.0	18.2	-3.15
Jannero Pargo	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	14.5	15.5	-1.01	20.0	16.4	3.57
Anthony Tolliver	53	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	24	-26	16.6	13.9	2.67	14.1	19.7	-5.61
Bismack Biyombo	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	27	-32	20.0	14.9	5.14	14.2	16.8	-2.65
Luke Ridnour	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.29	-17	39	-56	17.4	14.7	2.70	14.6	17.2	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 97, HOU 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
GSW 93, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%