NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	3.5 [1095]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +14.0%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	1.0 [1162]		LVP	Coby Karl (GSW): -9.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	22	64%	0.17	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby Karl	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	13	43%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	-0.07	16	49%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	20	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.17	0.00	0.13	9	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.02
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	13	36%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Will Conroy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.14	7	87%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.5	27.9	13.7	26.5	2.5	25.3	128.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.3%

HOU +15.4%

HOU +14.5%

GSW -13.5%

HOU +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.3	97.0	119.0	106.0
season	13.4	15.0		106.5	106.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.1	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	13.6	16.0	13.6	13.9
HOU	13.5	15.8	14.6	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-20	18	13.5	14.0	-0.51	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Devean George	46	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-27	32	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.8	14.2	1.62
Ronny Turiaf	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-21	20	13.8	14.0	-0.20	16.9	14.2	2.75
CJ Watson	71	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-21	20	14.2	13.1	1.09	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Anthony Tolliver	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-8	-6	12.9	14.4	-1.52	13.5	15.5	-2.04
Coby Karl	78	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-7	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.28	15.1	14.0	1.19
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.33	-23	1	-24	13.9	13.9	0.05	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Andris Biedrins	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-5	-12	14.5	13.3	1.24	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Stephen Curry	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	0	-22	14.0	13.8	0.10	15.0	14.7	0.25
Monta Ellis	80	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	-2	-18	14.0	13.5	0.51	15.2	13.5	1.68

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	55	55	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.21	31	-9	40	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.9	12.8	2.10
Luis Scola	51	51	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.13	25	-3	28	13.4	16.4	-2.98	13.9	13.9	0.02
Aaron Brooks	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.21	26	-4	30	15.4	12.5	2.91	14.2	12.5	1.71
Trevor Ariza	80	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	0	22	15.2	13.4	1.80	14.0	13.4	0.64
Shane Battier	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.19	24	-2	26	15.1	14.6	0.52	14.7	12.6	2.13
Brian Cook	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	9.0	15.3	-6.33	10.6	14.2	-3.59
Joey Dorsey	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	9.0	15.3	-6.33	10.6	14.2	-3.59
Chase Budinger	43	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	26	-30	14.9	14.9	-0.05	12.9	14.7	-1.76
Will Conroy	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	24	-26	13.2	15.4	-2.27	13.1	14.2	-1.03
Carl Landry	49	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	26	-30	17.1	12.8	4.26	13.9	14.0	-0.10
David Andersen	38	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	30	-38	15.3	14.6	0.64	13.2	14.3	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIN 101, DAL 128	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 78, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%