NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	3.3 [1163]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +28.6%
Dallas Mavericks	128		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -6.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.06	3	-0.00	10	80%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	14	31%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Andrew Wiggins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	14	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	8	62%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.26	0.03	0.01	15	83%	0.29	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	64%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	83%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	9	68%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	27.5	16.4	29.8	1.7	30.3	131.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.8%

DAL +9.2%

MIN -17.2%

DAL +17.2%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	14.9	103.1	129.3	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		104.8	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	14.3	14.4	12.6	14.5
DAL	13.0	15.7	15.0	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	48	50	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-28	29	13.0	16.0	-3.02	14.8	14.6	0.13
Adreian Payne	44	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-31	35	12.8	16.0	-3.21	15.7	13.9	1.78
Damjan Rudez	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-26	25	12.2	15.5	-3.31	15.5	14.3	1.15
Shabazz Muhammad	71	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-22	17	13.5	17.4	-3.91	15.1	13.5	1.62
Zach LaVine	86	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.34	-25	-2	-23	14.4	15.3	-0.90	14.5	16.0	-1.48
Gorgui Dieng	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.25	-23	-4	-19	16.3	12.7	3.59	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	53	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	-2	-23	15.7	13.2	2.44	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Ricky Rubio	50	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.25	-28	1	-29	16.0	13.0	3.02	14.6	14.8	-0.13
Andrew Wiggins	59	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.38	-33	6	-39	16.0	12.4	3.58	14.4	15.2	-0.84

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	51	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.40	31	-4	35	14.8	14.6	0.26	16.3	12.5	3.84
Deron Williams	48	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	6	15	14.7	14.7	0.06	15.6	13.5	2.14
Wesley Matthews	47	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.38	29	-2	31	14.0	15.3	-1.33	16.1	12.9	3.20
Zaza Pachulia	38	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	6	15	15.7	14.1	1.64	15.4	13.9	1.49
Raymond Felton	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	14	-1	14.2	15.4	-1.27	14.0	15.2	-1.21
Dirk Nowitzki	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	19	-11	13.9	15.2	-1.33	15.3	14.1	1.20
Devin Harris	37	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	11	16	-5	15.0	14.5	0.44	14.7	14.4	0.27
David Lee	50	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.16	7	20	-13	13.7	15.7	-2.01	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Jose Juan Barea	52	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	29	-31	15.3	14.0	1.33	12.9	16.1	-3.20
Charlie Villanueva	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.2	14.5	0.72	12.5	15.4	-2.86
Dwight Powell	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.6	14.5	1.09	12.3	15.0	-2.77
Justin Anderson	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	30	-33	15.3	14.5	0.76	11.8	15.2	-3.41
Salah Mejri	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.7	14.6	1.16	14.2	14.6	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CLE 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 104, POR 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 89, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%