inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 90 Excitement3.2 [1176] MVPTristan Thompson (CLE): +12.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 120 Comeback1.0 [1089] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -10.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.000.041172%0.111-0.02367%-0.00
Andre Iguodala0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.010.03779%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Marreese Speights0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01450%0.0300.002100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.00667%0.00
Brandon Rush0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03125%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01362%0.013-0.04250%-0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.041334%-0.032-0.03333%-0.02
Draymond Green-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01830%-0.062-0.03450%-0.02
Stephen Curry-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.01-0.020.091363%-0.026-0.084100%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.02682%0.1200.00580%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.010.041371%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Kyrie Irving0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.020.042557%0.072-0.043100%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Channing Frye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.03764%0.021-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.052656%0.035-0.06560%-0.01
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.02530%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.832.417.432.33.533.4148.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +21.6%
CLE +2.9%
CLE +18.1%
CLE +7.4%
CLE +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCLENBAGSWCLENBA
this game14.116.014.994.7125.0105.1
season13.715.8112.3110.3
opponent14.915.1103.7102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.711.813.714.514.1
CLE14.717.515.116.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Leandro Barbosa33330.04-0.540.590.16-4-262213.414.5-1.0816.915.51.40
Shaun Livingston38390.01-0.510.520.10-3-272413.614.5-0.8216.815.51.30
Brandon Rush13140.00-0.500.500.21-7-231611.414.6-3.1814.616.3-1.61
Ian Clark13130.00-0.500.500.15-5-252011.414.6-3.1814.716.2-1.54
Anderson Varejao2122-0.00-0.500.490.05-2-282611.614.8-3.2214.716.4-1.74
Marreese Speights1919-0.03-0.470.450.15-6-241811.614.8-3.1813.016.8-3.77
Festus Ezeli44-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-262221.213.87.4416.716.00.76
Andre Iguodala5556-0.21-0.290.080.09-10-201014.214.00.2616.115.90.12
Harrison Barnes6666-0.37-0.13-0.250.33-24-6-1814.313.80.4816.315.40.90
Andrew Bogut2424-0.42-0.08-0.340.20-21-9-1216.513.33.1814.916.4-1.53
Draymond Green7071-0.43-0.07-0.350.01-15-15014.214.00.1216.514.61.92
Stephen Curry6061-0.50-0.00-0.490.15-22-8-1414.812.91.8716.016.00.03
Klay Thompson5958-0.520.02-0.550.27-27-3-2415.312.23.1116.515.21.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith72720.58-0.080.67-0.3833-33616.514.61.8615.410.35.10
Tristan Thompson61600.51-0.010.52-0.102191216.515.11.3814.513.41.15
Kyrie Irving71710.480.020.47-0.222461816.813.92.8914.413.31.06
LeBron James80770.430.070.36-0.272461816.314.51.8314.811.23.58
Richard Jefferson65650.360.140.220.041119-816.415.31.0814.413.41.01
Iman Shumpert35340.100.40-0.31-0.17921-1215.716.2-0.4815.213.51.68
Timofey Mozgov15160.080.42-0.34-0.241119-813.316.5-3.1911.014.8-3.76
Dahntay Jones11110.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.016.3-2.2810.214.6-4.46
Mo Williams11110.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.016.3-2.2810.214.6-4.46
James Jones11110.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2014.016.3-2.2810.214.6-4.46
Jordan McRae760.000.50-0.50-0.23822-1415.416.1-0.6411.514.3-2.80
Channing Frye2424-0.010.51-0.52-0.13426-2215.716.1-0.4714.913.91.00
Matthew Dellavedova1717-0.040.54-0.570.26-1040-5014.016.5-2.4610.315.0-4.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 101, DAL 1280.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
PHX 89, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
TOR 91, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%