NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	149		Excitement	1.7 [1300]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +19.9%
Chicago Bulls	124		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Jabari Parker (CHI): -4.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.45	0.00	0.25	29	87%	0.21	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	15	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.21	0.00	0.15	9	92%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	4	125%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	43%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	59%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	9	68%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	17	55%	0.01	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	54%	-0.00	1	0.00	8	37%	-0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.19	-0.00	0.20	12	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	0.00	0.12	13	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.5	14.7	24.1	2.3	28.7	124.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.7%

GSW +1.9%

GSW +2.2%

GSW +1.3%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	13.3	14.3	14.3	143.3	118.1	109.3
season	13.4	14.6		114.5	104.2
opponent	14.3	15.0		112.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.5	9.6	15.4	17.1	13.3
CHI	15.2	16.4	12.9	12.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	62	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.83	45	-20	65	11.3	16.2	-4.95	15.6	12.1	3.52
Draymond Green	55	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.61	34	-9	43	11.6	15.1	-3.51	15.2	13.2	1.98
Klay Thompson	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.53	28	-3	31	11.3	16.0	-4.78	15.0	13.2	1.79
Alfonzo McKinnie	58	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	12	1	14.1	12.3	1.76	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Stephen Curry	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.55	27	-2	29	11.3	15.7	-4.37	14.8	13.6	1.21
Andre Iguodala	14	15	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.23	16	9	7	12.4	13.4	-0.99	17.3	13.8	3.50
Jonas Jerebko	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	20	-15	15.4	12.0	3.39	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Damian Jones	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.20	13	12	1	13.0	13.4	-0.45	15.3	13.8	1.45
Kevon Looney	37	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	31	-37	15.4	12.1	3.24	12.6	15.2	-2.60
Jordan Bell	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.50	-15	40	-55	14.0	12.9	1.10	12.7	15.1	-2.40
Quinn Cook	35	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.56	-19	44	-63	16.9	11.5	5.42	11.9	15.4	-3.48
Jacob Evans	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.47	-16	41	-57	16.6	11.7	4.90	11.9	15.4	-3.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	38	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-22	19	13.4	14.7	-1.28	14.5	12.5	2.05
Antonio Blakeney	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-35	45	13.2	15.0	-1.79	16.1	11.3	4.86
Cristiano Felicio	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-20	15	13.8	14.6	-0.85	15.1	11.9	3.20
Cameron Payne	47	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.50	-25	0	-25	14.5	14.1	0.48	11.9	14.4	-2.51
Chandler Hutchison	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-11	-3	14.1	14.4	-0.36	14.0	12.6	1.38
Ryan Arcidiacono	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-25	25	14.1	14.5	-0.48	14.4	11.9	2.51
Wendell Carter Jr.	61	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.32	-20	-5	-15	14.6	13.8	0.85	11.9	15.1	-3.20
Jabari Parker	59	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-24	23	13.7	15.0	-1.31	13.3	13.3	-0.06
Zach LaVine	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.68	-35	10	-45	15.0	13.2	1.79	11.3	16.1	-4.86
Justin Holiday	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.54	-32	7	-39	15.4	12.5	2.94	11.9	15.3	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 127, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
DEN 110, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
PHI 117, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%