inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 127 Excitement1.5 [1307] MVPDion Waiters (OKC): +10.2%
Orlando Magic 99 Comeback1.0 [1216] LVPChanning Frye (ORL): -4.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dion Waiters0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.01-0.00984%0.103-0.001100%-0.00
Serge Ibaka0.060,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.010.041073%0.061-0.002100%0.00
Andre Roberson0.050,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.00-0.04483%0.063-0.00450%-0.01
Steven Adams0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.00-0.03445%0.0400.00333%-0.00
Kevin Durant0.020,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.000.081078%0.053-0.037100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.090.000.08672%0.0110.00683%-0.00
Russell Westbrook0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.021257%0.034-0.03650%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.064100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.02765%0.003-0.02333%-0.01
Anthony Morrow-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.07714%-0.011-0.0100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02383%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03233%-0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.000.02657%-0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Devyn Marble0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02437%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.04462%-0.011-0.00560%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00250%-0.0110.00450%-0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.01-0.071940%0.013-0.032100%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.041853%-0.013-0.027100%0.01
Elfrid Payton0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001753%0.024-0.05250%-0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.02943%-0.031-0.013100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.733.216.431.62.427.5138.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +43.0%
OKC +0.6%
OKC +5.3%
OKC +0.8%
OKC +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCORLNBAOKCORLNBA
this game12.913.715.1115.593.4104.2
season14.514.9105.7100.4
opponent15.315.0105.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.212.413.412.812.9
ORL13.412.913.815.013.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant63620.400.100.31-0.332532213.012.80.2613.514.1-0.55
Serge Ibaka64630.320.180.140.031018-813.312.40.9013.114.7-1.52
Kendrick Perkins52480.310.190.11-0.402442012.213.6-1.4813.913.60.24
Dion Waiters50450.310.190.11-0.342261612.313.5-1.1714.113.50.60
Anthony Morrow52490.270.230.04-0.261810812.813.0-0.2114.013.50.55
Reggie Jackson47420.270.230.03-0.261810812.513.2-0.7113.913.70.19
Russell Westbrook56560.240.26-0.03-0.201513212.912.9-0.0213.813.70.16
Andre Roberson55560.200.30-0.110.11325-2213.312.50.7813.114.5-1.39
Steven Adams39400.190.31-0.120.05523-1813.312.70.5413.413.9-0.47
Nick Collison33300.000.50-0.490.00028-2813.512.70.8714.613.41.19
Jeremy Lamb13130.000.50-0.500.00028-2813.212.90.3314.513.60.90
Ish Smith13130.000.50-0.500.00028-2813.212.90.3314.513.60.90
Perry Jones13130.000.50-0.500.00028-2813.212.90.3314.513.60.90

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Green2424-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-323612.514.1-1.6111.513.3-1.89
Dewayne Dedmon2929-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-333813.813.70.0712.013.3-1.27
Maurice Harkless1717-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-272611.914.1-2.2212.813.0-0.13
Evan Fournier3333-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-293012.714.2-1.5212.113.3-1.21
Luke Ridnour34-0.14-0.360.230.16-10-18816.713.73.0117.012.84.22
Aaron Gordon2327-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-17615.013.41.6614.212.51.70
Kyle O'Quinn3538-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-17614.313.50.7612.713.1-0.39
Devyn Marble4547-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-16413.314.1-0.7912.713.1-0.33
Nikola Vucevic6061-0.30-0.20-0.090.35-22-6-1613.414.2-0.8312.813.2-0.41
Ben Gordon2526-0.30-0.20-0.100.31-21-7-1414.913.41.4813.112.90.18
Channing Frye7578-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-17-11-613.913.40.4613.312.01.32
Elfrid Payton8588-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-13-213.714.0-0.2613.112.30.83
Victor Oladipo7678-0.43-0.07-0.360.45-302-3214.412.22.1613.212.21.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 149, CHI 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.2%
ATL 107, IND 880.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
DEN 110, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%