NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	110		Excitement	1.9 [1285]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +9.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -7.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.00	8	100%	0.01
Juan Hernangomez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	89%	0.08	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	13	38%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	65%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Axel Toupane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	0.00	0.13	12	72%	0.00	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	0.00	0.08	16	52%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	13	47%	-0.03	6	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	27.2	15.3	24.6	2.4	26.5	119.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.9%

DEN +4.4%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +2.1%

DEN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIL	NBA	DEN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	14.8	118.3	104.3	107.7
season	14.4	14.9		111.6	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.5		107.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	14.3	17.3	18.0	15.8
MIL	16.7	13.9	15.3	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	4	4	16.2	14.8	1.34	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Jamal Murray	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	-3	18	15.4	16.7	-1.39	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Nikola Jokic	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	-5	22	15.5	16.4	-0.91	14.4	16.0	-1.66
Gary Harris	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	1	10	16.0	15.4	0.61	14.6	15.8	-1.14
Danilo Gallinari	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	7	-2	15.9	15.8	0.11	14.0	17.4	-3.34
Juan Hernangomez	25	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	5	2	15.8	15.9	-0.11	17.4	14.0	3.34
Mason Plumlee	33	34	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	17	-22	16.4	15.5	0.91	16.0	14.4	1.66
Will Barton	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	19	-26	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.7	14.5	1.25
Emmanuel Mudiay	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	15	-18	16.7	15.4	1.39	16.4	14.3	2.12
Darrell Arthur	12	13	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	0	12	11.2	16.5	-5.36	15.8	14.8	0.93

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-14	16	13.2	16.1	-2.84	16.7	15.3	1.35
Axel Toupane	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-8	4	17.9	14.7	3.18	15.9	15.8	0.04
Rashad Vaughn	10	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-1	-10	19.2	14.5	4.74	12.2	16.2	-4.00
Jason Terry	45	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-6	0	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Mirza Teletovic	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	1	-14	17.8	14.4	3.43	13.2	16.3	-3.15
Khris Middleton	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-20	28	13.7	17.1	-3.33	16.8	14.2	2.62
Thon Maker	13	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	3	-18	20.2	14.1	6.02	12.7	16.3	-3.66
Matthew Dellavedova	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-13	14	14.9	15.0	-0.15	16.1	15.6	0.48
Greg Monroe	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-13	14	14.9	15.0	-0.15	16.1	15.6	0.48
Malcolm Brogdon	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	15.1	14.6	0.58	16.0	15.5	0.43
Tony Snell	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.1	15.3	0.85
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	14.2	16.9	-2.69	15.9	15.6	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 117, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
ORL 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
ORL 113, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%