NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	1.8 [1298]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +5.1%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.0 [676]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -8.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.22	0.00	0.17	12	88%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	17	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.07	11	56%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Frazier Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	53%	-0.01	2	-0.01	10	70%	-0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	27%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.06	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	47%	-0.02	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	12	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	31.5	15.3	21.7	2.4	28.5	124.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.8%

ORL +1.5%

NYK -4.5%

ORL +11.7%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	14.3	110.6	86.4	109.3
season	14.9	14.5		107.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	15.5	14.8	13.9	14.3
NYK	14.0	12.2	12.8	14.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	69	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	8	10	15.0	13.0	2.00	12.9	14.6	-1.67
Nikola Vucevic	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	8	10	15.4	13.1	2.24	13.3	13.7	-0.38
D.J. Augustin	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	10	6	15.2	13.5	1.72	13.6	13.4	0.16
Jarell Martin	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.32	22	4	18	14.3	14.3	-0.01	13.9	13.0	0.94
Evan Fournier	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	7	12	15.3	13.7	1.65	12.4	14.2	-1.84
Terrence Ross	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	8	10	12.9	15.5	-2.62	15.5	11.9	3.62
Jonathon Simmons	60	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.33	19	7	12	13.6	15.2	-1.60	14.1	12.7	1.42
Jerian Grant	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	17	-8	14.0	14.9	-0.89	13.2	14.0	-0.77
Mo Bamba	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.19	12	14	-2	12.5	15.5	-2.93	14.3	13.0	1.23
Melvin Frazier Jr.	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	33	-40	14.7	14.3	0.38	11.5	13.8	-2.26
Isaiah Briscoe	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	33	-40	14.7	14.3	0.38	11.5	13.8	-2.26
Khem Birch	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	33	-40	14.7	14.3	0.38	11.5	13.8	-2.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Baker	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-33	40	11.5	13.8	-2.26	14.7	14.3	0.38
Trey Burke	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-25	24	12.7	14.0	-1.22	16.4	13.0	3.45
Mitchell Robinson	48	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-19	12	13.4	13.5	-0.11	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Allonzo Trier	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-18	10	14.3	12.8	1.50	12.8	15.6	-2.77
Frank Ntilikina	14	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-14	2	13.8	13.4	0.34	13.1	14.5	-1.43
Mario Hezonja	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-23	20	13.5	13.4	0.09	14.4	14.3	0.07
Emmanuel Mudiay	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.32	-20	-6	-14	14.8	12.7	2.10	12.4	15.4	-3.04
Kevin Knox	55	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	-13	0	14.0	12.9	1.16	13.1	15.8	-2.66
Damyean Dotson	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.28	-19	-7	-12	13.0	13.9	-0.89	15.1	13.7	1.38
Noah Vonleh	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-10	-6	12.6	14.3	-1.68	16.1	12.8	3.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-8	-10	12.8	14.3	-1.50	15.6	12.8	2.77
Enes Kanter	55	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.25	-20	-6	-14	14.2	12.7	1.43	13.5	15.4	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 112, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	98.4%
BOS 111, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
CHI 108, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%