NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	1.4 [1310]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +5.3%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	1.0 [535]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -6.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	6	85%	0.07	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	59%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	13	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	59%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	14	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	14	30%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	-0.01	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	28.2	15.6	27.4	1.6	26.3	127.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.8%

ATL -0.5%

PHI +6.8%

PHI +6.0%

PHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.5	120.6	85.6	105.7
season	15.5	16.5		104.6	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	13.4	15.2	15.5	14.3
ATL	15.9	17.2	14.2	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	77	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	7	20	14.1	14.8	-0.68	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Andre Iguodala	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.15	20	14	6	15.1	13.1	2.01	16.9	13.5	3.33
Elton Brand	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	9	16	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.7	13.7	2.99
Jrue Holiday	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.41	26	8	18	13.8	14.9	-1.03	15.7	15.0	0.69
Thaddeus Young	50	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	16	2	13.5	15.0	-1.48	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Evan Turner	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.36	20	14	6	13.9	15.0	-1.04	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Lou Williams	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.30	18	16	2	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Spencer Hawes	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	26	-18	14.5	14.2	0.31	17.1	14.9	2.20
Andres Nocioni	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	32	-30	15.9	13.8	2.08	14.1	15.8	-1.74
Darius Songaila	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	32	-30	16.4	13.8	2.68	14.0	15.8	-1.76
Marreese Speights	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	30	-26	13.9	14.3	-0.39	14.9	15.5	-0.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.19	-7	-27	20	14.4	15.8	-1.41	14.8	14.1	0.72
Jordan Crawford	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	-26	18	15.0	15.8	-0.78	14.5	14.1	0.40
Jeff Teague	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.14	-9	-25	16	13.7	16.9	-3.25	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Maurice Evans	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-27	20	13.8	17.5	-3.69	14.7	13.7	0.92
Zaza Pachulia	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-24	14	17.0	15.0	1.94	14.5	14.2	0.31
Mike Bibby	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-17	0	17.7	13.8	3.94	14.4	14.1	0.33
Damien Wilkins	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.37	-22	-12	-10	14.1	16.9	-2.73	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Jamal Crawford	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-16	-2	14.6	16.3	-1.66	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Joe Johnson	42	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.29	-22	-12	-10	17.3	14.0	3.31	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Marvin Williams	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.30	-23	-11	-12	16.6	13.8	2.78	14.4	14.0	0.45
Josh Smith	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.31	-27	-7	-20	16.3	14.1	2.18	14.5	13.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 113, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.6%
DEN 110, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
MIA 105, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%