NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	1.7 [1060]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +6.9%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.1 [674]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -10.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	15	61%	0.06	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.00	-0.12	2	0%	0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickell Gladness	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	12	74%	0.01	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	3	79%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	7	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	12	43%	-0.02	6	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	33.3	16.8	26.2	2.5	31.5	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.9%

MIA +5.5%

MIA +4.4%

MIA +9.9%

MIA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.6	108.2	93.8	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		105.6	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.9	12.2	16.6	18.4	14.8
IND	14.3	14.9	16.9	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.35	27	-12	39	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.2	14.6	0.58
Joel Anthony	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-3	21	14.4	15.5	-1.06	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Mario Chalmers	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.10	14	1	13	14.1	15.2	-1.11	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Dwyane Wade	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	-2	19	14.1	15.6	-1.58	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Chris Bosh	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	4	7	15.0	14.6	0.47	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Udonis Haslem	40	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.22	16	-1	17	14.5	15.1	-0.55	15.7	14.5	1.24
Shane Battier	46	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	1	13	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.6	14.5	1.04
Norris Cole	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	18	-21	15.5	13.8	1.75	15.5	14.3	1.29
Mike Miller	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	5	5	13.5	15.4	-1.92	15.9	14.6	1.30
Eddy Curry	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	26	-37	16.2	14.7	1.55	11.5	15.3	-3.76
Juwan Howard	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	17.9	14.4	3.53	13.7	15.2	-1.46
James Jones	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	28	-41	17.8	14.4	3.40	13.7	15.2	-1.55
Mickell Gladness	11	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	28	-41	17.8	14.4	3.38	12.1	15.3	-3.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	9	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-28	41	12.1	15.3	-3.21	17.8	14.4	3.38
Lou Amundson	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-29	43	13.6	15.3	-1.68	18.3	14.1	4.21
Lance Stephenson	35	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-22	29	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.9	14.1	1.76
Jeff Foster	17	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.34	-16	1	-17	15.6	14.9	0.69	11.3	15.5	-4.13
A.J. Price	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-20	25	14.4	15.4	-1.05	15.4	14.4	0.98
Dahntay Jones	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-13	11	15.4	14.4	0.93	15.0	14.6	0.37
Tyler Hansbrough	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	2	-19	15.7	14.6	1.14	14.4	15.1	-0.66
David West	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-1	-13	15.1	15.0	0.08	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Danny Granger	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	2	-19	14.0	15.4	-1.33	13.3	15.4	-2.02
Roy Hibbert	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-5	-5	15.2	14.7	0.47	14.9	14.7	0.20
Darren Collison	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.35	-24	9	-33	15.1	14.9	0.17	14.2	15.8	-1.64
Paul George	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-1	-13	15.2	14.6	0.60	14.9	14.7	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
PHI 117, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
DEN 123, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%