NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	118		Excitement	1.5 [1308]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +10.1%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.1 [1140]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -9.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	9	82%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	8	90%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	8	84%	0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	54%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.07	9	64%	0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	10	30%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	10	20%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	9	38%	-0.03	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	0.05	12	53%	-0.04	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.8	15.6	23.3	2.5	27.4	127.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.8%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +5.5%

SAS +7.1%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.5	125.5	100.0	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		109.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		108.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.5	14.5	17.2	18.7	15.9
WAS	14.7	17.5	14.1	12.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	0	24	15.6	16.7	-1.10	14.3	15.7	-1.43
DeJuan Blair	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.46	29	-5	34	15.7	16.3	-0.67	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Richard Jefferson	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	5	14	15.7	16.1	-0.39	14.8	14.6	0.21
Tony Parker	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.36	23	1	22	15.3	16.3	-0.96	15.7	14.1	1.59
Tim Duncan	26	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	3	18	13.8	16.7	-2.85	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Matt Bonner	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	14	-4	16.1	15.8	0.34	14.7	14.7	0.02
Manu Ginobili	16	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	13	-2	14.9	16.1	-1.17	15.3	14.6	0.70
Gary Neal	57	57	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.00	7	17	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.25	15.4	13.7	1.66
Antonio McDyess	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.25	-5	29	-34	16.3	15.7	0.67	15.1	14.5	0.60
Steve Novak	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.40	-12	36	-48	16.9	15.1	1.85	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Chris Quinn	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	31	-38	17.9	14.6	3.34	13.6	15.5	-1.98

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-31	38	13.0	15.0	-1.99	17.6	15.6	1.99
Hilton Armstrong	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-28	32	13.5	14.9	-1.45	17.1	15.7	1.35
Kevin Seraphin	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-21	18	15.0	14.7	0.33	19.0	15.2	3.83
Nick Young	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-15	6	14.1	15.2	-1.06	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Yi Jianlian	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-19	14	14.3	15.0	-0.72	16.6	15.4	1.18
Trevor Booker	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-16	8	15.4	13.8	1.52	16.3	15.3	1.08
JaVale McGee	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-7	-10	14.9	14.5	0.37	15.4	16.5	-1.16
Kirk Hinrich	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.52	-30	6	-36	15.1	14.1	0.99	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Cartier Martin	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-16	8	14.2	16.1	-1.93	16.5	14.4	2.15
Andray Blatche	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.30	-24	0	-24	15.2	13.9	1.27	15.0	17.6	-2.62
John Wall	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	3	-30	15.0	14.3	0.69	14.8	17.6	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
ORL 109, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%