NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	120		Excitement	5.0 [855]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +18.4%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	1.9 [1075]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -7.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	20	67%	0.24	3	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.02	26	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jacob Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.04	0.10	14	81%	0.14	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.02	18	62%	0.12	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	11	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	9	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	24.2	14.4	29.2	2.5	29.5	125.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +15.8%

GSW +10.1%

GSW +11.1%

GSW +10.9%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	12.7	15.8	14.3	118.8	112.9	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		114.5	108.6
opponent	14.0	15.0		109.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.5	12.5	12.6	14.2	12.7
BKN	16.7	17.0	15.7	14.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-5	16	12.4	13.7	-1.25	15.3	17.7	-2.41
Alfonzo McKinnie	37	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-6	18	12.8	12.6	0.16	16.8	15.3	1.50
Kevin Durant	84	84	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	12.4	13.9	-1.44	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Andre Iguodala	40	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	3	0	12.4	12.8	-0.39	16.2	15.6	0.57
Klay Thompson	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	11	-16	13.2	11.1	2.10	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Jonas Jerebko	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-1	8	12.3	12.9	-0.61	17.5	15.1	2.34
Kevon Looney	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-5	16	11.1	13.2	-2.10	16.0	15.8	0.23
Draymond Green	77	77	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.38	-8	14	-22	13.0	11.8	1.17	15.5	16.8	-1.26
Jordan Bell	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	14.6	12.2	2.45	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Jacob Evans	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	1	4	12.0	12.8	-0.78	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Damian Jones	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	12	-18	13.1	12.6	0.52	16.4	15.7	0.71

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	48	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-16	26	15.1	16.5	-1.31	13.0	12.5	0.50
Jarrett Allen	58	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.44	14	-20	34	15.6	16.2	-0.66	13.8	11.1	2.76
D'Angelo Russell	63	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-13	20	15.1	17.1	-2.00	12.7	12.7	-0.07
Caris LeVert	65	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-15	24	15.0	17.4	-2.38	13.0	12.1	0.91
Joe Harris	64	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-7	8	15.5	16.5	-0.99	13.1	12.0	1.07
Shabazz Napier	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	16.9	15.4	1.54	13.0	12.6	0.39
Allen Crabbe	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	15.9	15.7	0.19	12.8	12.5	0.30
Ed Davis	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	8	-22	17.4	15.0	2.38	11.8	13.2	-1.36
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	36	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	13	-32	16.4	15.5	0.87	11.2	13.6	-2.36
Spencer Dinwiddie	49	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.13	-23	17	-40	17.1	14.6	2.51	11.6	13.7	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.14,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHX 109, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.19,0.14,0.02,0	94.5%
LAL 115, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%