NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	3.7 [1035]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +11.6%
Toronto Raptors	91		Comeback	1.4 [447]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -10.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.04	20	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	81%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	15	65%	0.11	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	4	17%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	22	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	27.8	15.8	26.4	2.5	26.2	122.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.4%

TOR -2.8%

TOR -8.1%

HOU +6.1%

HOU +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	18.3	15.4	15.5	129.4	105.8	100.9
season	16.3	15.8		104.6	103.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	16.4	20.2	19.5	18.3
TOR	15.2	15.7	16.8	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	30	-11	41	18.0	19.9	-1.98	15.9	12.9	3.07
Walt Williams	32	32	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.44	30	-11	41	17.1	19.1	-2.03	15.8	15.1	0.65
Cuttino Mobley	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.24	20	-1	21	18.3	18.4	-0.13	15.9	13.6	2.32
Kenny Thomas	57	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	17	-15	19.0	17.0	2.04	15.1	15.9	-0.88
Maurice Taylor	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	8	3	18.3	18.3	-0.01	16.1	14.4	1.74
Matt Bullard	28	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.38	19	0	19	17.0	19.0	-2.04	15.9	15.1	0.88
Carlos Rogers	14	14	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	14	-9	16.5	18.7	-2.19	15.8	15.3	0.49
Moochie Norris	25	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	23	-27	18.1	18.4	-0.35	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Shandon Anderson	61	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	19	-19	18.9	16.9	1.97	15.3	15.6	-0.38
Dan Langhi	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	20.6	17.9	2.77	12.6	15.9	-3.26
Jason Collier	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	21.2	17.9	3.30	11.3	16.0	-4.70

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	11.3	16.0	-4.70	21.2	17.9	3.30
Tyrone Corbin	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	11.3	16.0	-4.70	21.2	17.9	3.30
Dell Curry	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-17	15	13.9	15.9	-2.00	19.3	18.0	1.27
Kornel David	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-17	15	15.0	15.5	-0.52	17.3	18.7	-1.39
Morris Peterson	59	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-5	-9	15.4	15.2	0.22	19.4	15.9	3.52
Kevin Willis	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-14	9	15.9	14.5	1.34	18.4	18.1	0.30
Corliss Williamson	31	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.31	-21	2	-23	16.3	14.9	1.44	15.8	19.6	-3.80
Mark Jackson	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-8	-3	16.2	14.3	1.94	18.6	18.0	0.57
Alvin Williams	46	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	0	-19	14.6	16.2	-1.59	17.6	19.1	-1.48
Charles Oakley	59	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	3	-25	15.9	14.1	1.78	17.9	19.1	-1.21
Vince Carter	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-2	-15	15.9	13.9	2.00	18.0	19.3	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, NOH 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DET 94, PHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAS 98, LAL 80	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%