NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	3.5 [1124]		MVP	Kyle Singler (DET): +7.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	76		Comeback	1.4 [264]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -9.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kim English	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.04	9	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	16	50%	0.06	6	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.04	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	34%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	30.3	16.7	30.1	2.5	30.2	136.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.9%

DET +8.5%

DET +18.5%

PHI -19.7%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	104.4	84.4	104.1
season	15.7	15.5		102.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	14.7	17.2	17.3	15.9
PHI	15.4	16.6	16.3	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-2	22	15.4	17.1	-1.68	15.9	16.8	-0.90
Brandon Knight	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.03	13	5	8	15.8	16.2	-0.41	16.4	15.2	1.23
Kyle Singler	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	3	12	15.9	15.6	0.37	16.5	14.4	2.05
Greg Monroe	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	1	16	16.6	12.8	3.82	16.2	15.6	0.63
Jason Maxiell	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	7	4	15.5	16.4	-0.91	16.2	16.0	0.14
Andre Drummond	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	16	-14	13.4	16.8	-3.34	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Corey Maggette	37	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	11	-4	17.2	15.0	2.20	16.7	15.6	1.12
Will Bynum	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	13	-8	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Jonas Jerebko	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	16	-14	17.1	15.4	1.76	16.8	15.9	0.90
Khris Middleton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	12.2	16.0	-3.78	10.0	16.3	-6.32
Kim English	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	12.2	16.0	-3.78	10.0	16.3	-6.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maalik Wayns	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.1	16.4	-3.22	13.3	16.1	-2.80
Damien Wilkins	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	15.1	16.3	-1.16	16.1	15.8	0.25
Arnett Moultrie	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-22	26	15.1	16.3	-1.16	16.1	15.8	0.25
Kwame Brown	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-17	16	15.7	16.2	-0.49	16.2	15.7	0.47
Evan Turner	45	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-8	-2	16.2	16.0	0.13	16.7	15.1	1.59
Nick Young	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-13	8	16.4	15.8	0.58	16.7	15.1	1.50
Royal Ivey	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.3	16.0	0.21	17.0	15.4	1.57
Thaddeus Young	54	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-9	0	17.0	14.7	2.27	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Jason Richardson	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-11	4	15.7	16.6	-0.92	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Spencer Hawes	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-7	-4	15.4	16.5	-1.07	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Lavoy Allen	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	2	-22	16.7	15.5	1.19	16.4	15.3	1.13
Dorell Wright	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-3	-12	16.2	16.0	0.18	15.4	16.2	-0.86
Jrue Holiday	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-5	-8	16.0	16.3	-0.32	15.3	17.3	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 129, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
NOH 96, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 104, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%