NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	3.7 [1049]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +17.7%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.7 [1015]		LVP	Randy Foye (WAS): -7.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.01	15	70%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.18	6	-0.10	9	89%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	23	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	28.8	16.0	27.0	1.8	30.2	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.3%

LAL +6.9%

WAS -9.3%

LAL +9.5%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	17.2	15.3	127.8	112.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.7		107.9	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	13.2	13.6	16.6	14.5
WAS	16.9	15.5	20.7	16.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	58	60	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-7	26	14.1	15.2	-1.09	17.1	17.2	-0.09
Lamar Odom	50	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-4	20	14.5	14.3	0.19	17.2	17.1	0.07
Kobe Bryant	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-1	14	14.2	15.4	-1.28	17.6	15.7	1.94
Pau Gasol	75	76	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	9	-6	14.8	12.6	2.23	16.5	20.1	-3.59
Jordan Farmar	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	4	4	14.3	14.5	-0.22	18.4	16.2	2.28
Andrew Bynum	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	7	-2	13.9	15.4	-1.50	18.3	15.4	2.87
Sasha Vujacic	10	11	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	11	-10	15.9	14.3	1.62	11.2	18.0	-6.79
Derek Fisher	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	12	-12	14.4	14.5	-0.09	17.1	17.2	-0.09
Metta World Peace	49	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	17	-22	15.2	13.6	1.55	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Luke Walton	0	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	0.0	14.5	-14.46	0.0	17.4	-17.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	4.0	17.3	-13.31	25.0	14.3	10.66
Mike James	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	10.2	17.6	-7.36	15.0	14.4	0.57
Dominic McGuire	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	9.2	17.7	-8.55	17.0	14.3	2.69
Randy Foye	59	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-15	18	16.8	17.8	-0.93	14.9	13.6	1.29
Caron Butler	68	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-10	8	17.1	17.2	-0.12	14.9	13.2	1.70
Earl Boykins	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	18.0	16.5	1.42	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Andray Blatche	37	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	15.0	18.6	-3.62	15.4	13.9	1.50
Brendan Haywood	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	18.1	15.5	2.52	14.0	15.4	-1.42
DeShawn Stevenson	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	1	-14	19.4	16.2	3.15	12.9	15.1	-2.19
Mike Miller	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	17.3	16.7	0.62	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Antawn Jamison	87	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	17.6	9.2	8.42	14.3	17.2	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 103, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DET 106, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%