inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement3.9 [1035] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +11.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 85 Comeback1.7 [292] LVPKevin Martin (MIN): -12.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.01-0.011165%0.1100.00475%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.000.031070%0.0800.003100%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye0.030,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00771%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011458%0.043-0.03367%-0.00
JJ Hickson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01650%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Erick Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001060%0.033-0.0500%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.011045%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.16-0.00-0.0590%-0.101-0.0100%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.03679%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01643%0.0100.002100%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.021650%0.0100.00850%-0.02
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.04557%0.043-0.034100%0.01
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.010.051350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Adreian Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01442%-0.022-0.02475%0.01
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00437%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.00-0.031336%-0.034-0.062100%0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.000.011527%-0.101-0.02367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.327.914.726.92.328.4124.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.2%
MIN -2.5%
DEN +11.3%
MIN -0.6%
DEN +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game15.415.015.1106.489.5104.2
season14.615.0103.4101.2
opponent15.015.3110.5106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.914.515.717.715.4
MIN16.016.813.114.215.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson48490.460.040.42-0.1019-42315.015.9-0.8316.014.01.96
Will Barton58580.410.090.32-0.031501515.415.5-0.0415.714.01.69
Joffrey Lauvergne21200.380.120.25-0.061501515.115.5-0.4515.015.0-0.04
Kenneth Faried64650.330.170.160.04105516.413.52.9114.216.8-2.54
Wilson Chandler51530.310.190.120.02105514.716.4-1.7116.313.42.87
Darrell Arthur30300.260.240.03-0.06114712.916.7-3.7917.114.13.02
JJ Hickson26270.110.39-0.290.05213-1113.816.1-2.2116.514.52.03
Randy Foye36370.090.41-0.320.09015-1515.515.40.0414.015.7-1.69
Gary Harris18180.080.42-0.34-0.01312-914.615.7-1.1013.615.4-1.75
Ty Lawson50490.040.46-0.420.16-419-2316.614.12.5114.315.8-1.54
Danilo Gallinari64650.030.47-0.440.21-621-2716.413.43.0613.717.8-4.09
Erick Green440.000.50-0.490.00015-1520.715.25.5411.015.2-4.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett4241-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-202514.315.6-1.3417.314.03.32
Zach LaVine2122-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-7-115.314.90.3912.516.4-3.91
Ricky Rubio8078-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.14-4-11714.517.7-3.1316.212.04.15
Kevin Martin6161-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-9314.615.7-1.1015.515.30.17
Nikola Pekovic3130-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-6-316.314.41.8715.215.6-0.41
Andrew Wiggins7472-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-8114.915.3-0.3916.412.53.91
Adreian Payne4545-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-3-914.915.1-0.2314.416.4-1.97
Gorgui Dieng6666-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-150-1515.414.21.2414.517.6-3.08
Gary Neal5555-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-194-2315.714.11.5715.116.0-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 115, WAS 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
ATL 111, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
DET 89, NJN 710.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.5%