NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	3.1 [1161]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): +17.3%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	2.0 [704]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -8.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.03	9	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	15	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.06	7	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	12	58%	0.09	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	85%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	32%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.03	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.05	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	5	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	27.6	16.7	27.2	1.8	25.2	126.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.4%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +5.8%

ATL +6.6%

ATL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.3	122.0	97.8	106.0
season	16.0	15.0		109.4	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		111.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	16.0	14.5	19.8	16.8
TOR	14.2	16.0	14.3	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	4	14	16.5	17.1	-0.57	14.1	16.2	-2.17
Zaza Pachulia	43	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	1	20	17.2	16.4	0.86	15.5	14.4	1.09
Maurice Evans	58	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	3	16	16.9	16.5	0.38	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Jeff Teague	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	6	10	16.6	16.9	-0.33	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Marvin Williams	54	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	12	-2	17.9	15.2	2.69	15.8	13.4	2.36
Josh Smith	69	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.25	17	5	12	16.2	18.5	-2.36	14.4	16.3	-1.95
Joe Johnson	51	52	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	16	-10	16.9	16.6	0.33	15.0	14.7	0.35
Al Horford	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	20	-18	16.0	17.4	-1.45	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Jason Collins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	16.7	16.8	-0.09	13.0	15.0	-1.95
Randolph Morris	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	17.7	16.7	1.04	16.7	14.8	1.95
Othello Hunter	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	17.7	16.7	1.04	16.7	14.8	1.95
Mike Bibby	30	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	24	-26	16.4	16.9	-0.48	15.6	14.5	1.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	16.7	14.8	1.95	17.7	16.7	1.04
Sonny Weems	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-20	18	14.0	15.4	-1.35	17.8	16.1	1.70
DeMar DeRozan	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-19	16	16.2	13.8	2.46	16.9	16.6	0.33
Jarrett Jack	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-20	18	14.7	15.2	-0.51	17.7	15.0	2.71
Hedo Turkoglu	61	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-17	12	15.8	13.1	2.72	17.7	14.8	2.92
Andrea Bargnani	63	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	-8	-6	15.5	13.6	1.85	17.9	13.9	4.02
Jose Calderon	15	15	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-6	-10	14.1	15.1	-0.99	13.9	17.3	-3.46
Antoine Wright	27	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-6	-10	12.0	16.1	-4.06	14.3	17.7	-3.38
Chris Bosh	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-11	0	14.8	15.1	-0.26	17.2	15.5	1.65
Amir Johnson	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-4	-14	14.0	15.8	-1.71	14.4	19.1	-4.71
Marco Belinelli	35	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	0	-22	15.4	14.6	0.83	15.3	17.7	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 108, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
HOU 112, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
WAS 102, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	96.1%