NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	3.2 [1152]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +10.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	96		Comeback	1.9 [377]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -9.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.05	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Nene	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.02	-0.07	6	65%	0.10	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	17	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	56%	0.11	4	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Jan Vesely	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	18	56%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	13	66%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	7	65%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	27.1	14.8	26.2	2.5	37.5	135.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +43.1%

NOP -5.2%

WAS +7.2%

WAS +4.6%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOP	NBA	WAS	NOP	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	15.1	112.1	104.3	105.2
season	15.1	15.5		103.8	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	17.0	15.4	17.9	16.4
NOP	14.6	17.2	14.6	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	39	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-7	20	17.7	15.4	2.26	16.7	13.8	2.90
Martell Webster	41	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-1	8	16.8	16.0	0.74	15.5	14.8	0.65
John Wall	66	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	1	4	15.3	19.2	-3.84	14.4	17.2	-2.90
Nene	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	9	-12	16.9	15.7	1.11	14.7	15.6	-0.98
Trevor Ariza	72	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	0	6	16.1	17.4	-1.32	14.8	16.4	-1.53
Marcin Gortat	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	15.8	17.5	-1.73	14.7	15.8	-1.03
Bradley Beal	57	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	12	-18	15.8	17.3	-1.47	14.3	16.6	-2.23
Garrett Temple	25	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	5	-4	19.2	15.3	3.84	17.2	14.4	2.90
Otto Porter	14	12	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	16.8	16.3	0.49	17.3	14.8	2.56
Trevor Booker	30	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	8	-10	16.0	16.6	-0.56	15.3	15.0	0.23

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	27	27	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.06	8	-14	22	15.0	15.1	-0.10	17.2	16.0	1.15
Austin Rivers	25	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-20	34	13.9	15.6	-1.69	17.4	16.0	1.36
Anthony Morrow	8	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	18.5	14.8	3.71	11.5	17.0	-5.48
Anthony Davis	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-17	28	14.1	17.4	-3.32	16.3	16.6	-0.36
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	1	-8	15.9	13.9	2.02	17.1	15.4	1.64
Brian Roberts	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-11	16	15.3	15.0	0.37	17.1	15.9	1.13
Jrue Holiday	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	5	-16	15.0	15.3	-0.37	15.9	17.1	-1.13
Greg Stiemsma	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-6	6	15.4	14.9	0.53	17.1	15.8	1.26
Eric Gordon	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	14.4	18.0	-3.59	16.4	16.1	0.33
Jason Smith	45	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	15	-36	16.0	14.3	1.66	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Tyreke Evans	34	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	15	-36	15.9	14.6	1.32	15.5	16.9	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 111, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIL 116, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%