NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	116		Excitement	3.1 [937]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +16.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	1.6 [355]		LVP	Nolan Smith (POR): -10.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.01	-0.01	8	100%	0.16	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	12	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	11	68%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	52%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	64%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	13	70%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	70%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	69%	0.02	6	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	8	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	9	17%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	2.4	29.0	14.8	25.2	2.4	27.6	121.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.3%

MIL +1.4%

POR -6.7%

MIL +8.6%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	15.6	120.8	91.6	102.8
season	14.6	15.7		103.8	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	12.5	15.0	14.1	14.0
POR	15.6	17.5	16.3	15.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	78	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.30	25	4	21	13.8	14.8	-1.04	16.6	14.5	2.07
Mike Dunleavy	47	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	15	-1	13.1	14.9	-1.81	16.2	16.2	0.04
Drew Gooden	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	16	-3	14.8	12.7	2.09	16.3	15.9	0.46
Ersan Ilyasova	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	17	-5	14.2	13.8	0.35	16.2	16.1	0.12
Beno Udrih	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	10	9	12.8	14.8	-1.99	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Ekpe Udoh	33	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	16	-3	12.7	14.7	-2.02	16.7	15.9	0.74
Brandon Jennings	69	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	12	5	14.4	12.9	1.48	16.5	15.3	1.28
Monta Ellis	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	24	-19	14.6	12.9	1.76	16.0	16.5	-0.44
Luc Mbah a Moute	21	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	26	-23	13.4	14.1	-0.72	16.3	16.1	0.18
Shaun Livingston	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	23	-17	15.3	13.9	1.40	13.6	16.4	-2.81
Larry Sanders	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	23	-17	15.3	13.9	1.40	13.6	16.4	-2.81
Tobias Harris	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	23	-17	15.3	13.9	1.40	13.6	16.4	-2.81
Jon Brockman	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	23	-17	15.3	13.9	1.40	13.6	16.4	-2.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-23	17	13.6	16.4	-2.81	15.3	13.9	1.40
Jonny Flynn	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-23	17	13.6	16.4	-2.81	15.3	13.9	1.40
Joel Przybilla	51	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.29	-13	-16	3	15.2	17.3	-2.04	14.6	13.1	1.51
Nicolas Batum	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-18	7	16.2	16.2	0.01	14.8	12.3	2.46
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-23	17	15.9	17.0	-1.11	14.4	12.8	1.66
Raymond Felton	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-20	11	16.1	16.3	-0.25	14.6	12.9	1.65
Wesley Matthews	70	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-21	13	16.1	16.5	-0.46	14.3	13.1	1.21
Nolan Smith	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	-9	-11	16.3	16.1	0.25	12.9	14.6	-1.65
Luke Babbitt	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.38	-22	-7	-15	16.6	16.0	0.59	12.2	14.8	-2.55
Craig Smith	20	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.23	-17	-12	-5	15.9	16.2	-0.29	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Kurt Thomas	29	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-16	3	18.7	15.1	3.56	12.3	14.6	-2.36
Jamal Crawford	51	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-10	-9	16.0	16.4	-0.34	13.4	14.8	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
WAS 102, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	96.0%
ATL 111, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%