NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	3.1 [1190]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +15.3%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.6 [477]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -5.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.00	0.02	13	90%	0.21	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	8	94%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	67%	0.12	4	-0.07	10	100%	0.04
Dion Waiters	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	12	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	11	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.05	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	34.1	15.4	23.5	2.5	28.4	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +44.1%

OKC +4.7%

UTA -6.9%

OKC +8.2%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.2	14.9	115.6	93.7	105.1
season	14.4	16.3		111.5	104.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		102.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.5	12.5	12.9	17.0	14.0
UTA	16.0	16.8	17.1	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.46	34	-12	46	13.9	14.1	-0.16	16.4	16.0	0.39
Nick Collison	38	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	0	22	12.8	14.7	-1.85	16.8	15.8	0.98
Enes Kanter	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	4	14	13.9	14.0	-0.14	16.2	16.2	0.05
Kevin Durant	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	9	4	12.7	16.5	-3.80	16.2	16.3	-0.14
Russell Westbrook	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	13	-4	13.2	15.0	-1.75	15.9	16.7	-0.88
D.J. Augustin	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	9	4	15.0	13.2	1.75	16.7	15.9	0.88
Anthony Morrow	35	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	15	-8	16.1	12.7	3.35	16.2	16.2	0.03
Steven Adams	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.28	13	9	4	13.4	14.4	-1.00	16.5	15.9	0.64
Serge Ibaka	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.14	6	16	-10	14.4	13.5	0.96	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Cameron Payne	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	31	-40	17.9	13.7	4.21	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Mitch McGary	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	16.4	13.8	2.58	17.4	16.1	1.26
Kyle Singler	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	31	-40	17.9	13.7	4.21	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Andre Roberson	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	25	-28	13.7	14.1	-0.40	15.9	16.4	-0.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	46	45	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-23	24	16.0	16.4	-0.45	14.4	13.5	0.92
Elijah Millsap	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-31	40	13.5	16.4	-2.89	17.9	13.7	4.21
Chris Johnson	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	13.9	16.5	-2.58	17.4	13.5	3.85
Trey Lyles	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-28	34	13.9	16.6	-2.68	16.4	13.5	2.89
Jeff Withey	27	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-22	22	13.8	17.2	-3.35	15.5	13.3	2.24
Joe Ingles	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.30	-16	-6	-10	16.1	16.2	-0.11	16.3	13.2	3.11
Rodney Hood	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-12	2	17.0	15.3	1.71	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Trevor Booker	39	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.33	-22	0	-22	16.5	16.0	0.51	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Rudy Gobert	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-10	-2	17.2	15.0	2.21	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Derrick Favors	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-6	-10	16.8	15.3	1.46	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Gordon Hayward	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-9	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.14	12.7	16.5	-3.80
Alec Burks	50	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.24	-25	3	-28	16.6	15.8	0.86	13.0	15.0	-1.92
Trey Burke	47	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	0	-22	16.6	15.9	0.68	13.4	14.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	96.8%
MIN 119, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
CHI 95, UTA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%