NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Excitement	3.3 [1161]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (MIN): +16.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	1.6 [404]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.01	-0.03	21	61%	0.16	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.09	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	14	83%	0.12	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	73%	0.12	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	7	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	89%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	77%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	9	28%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	14	18%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	13	39%	-0.09	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	24.2	15.6	25.3	2.5	24.5	120.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.6%

MIN +1.9%

MIN +7.6%

PHI -6.5%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.0	15.5	125.3	87.5	104.0
season	15.8	13.9		106.2	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	15.1	16.9	17.4	16.2
PHI	13.5	15.5	13.8	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	10	15	15.4	17.6	-2.18	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Eddie Griffin	64	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	13	9	16.9	14.8	2.10	14.0	13.9	0.11
Wally Szczerbiak	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	22	-9	15.0	17.5	-2.46	14.9	13.0	1.92
Latrell Sprewell	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.40	24	11	13	16.2	16.1	0.14	14.4	13.2	1.19
Sam Cassell	42	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	22	-9	15.3	16.9	-1.58	15.0	13.1	1.88
Troy Hudson	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	20	-5	17.0	15.4	1.61	13.1	14.8	-1.72
Fred Hoiberg	31	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	24	-13	16.1	16.2	-0.14	12.9	14.5	-1.63
Trenton Hassell	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.46	22	13	9	17.5	15.0	2.46	13.0	14.9	-1.92
Mark Madsen	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.27	13	22	-9	14.8	16.9	-2.10	14.2	13.9	0.36
Michael Olowokandi	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	29	-23	17.6	15.6	2.06	14.5	13.8	0.72
Ervin Johnson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	31	-27	17.3	16.1	1.22	12.0	14.1	-2.09
Anthony Carter	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	28	-21	16.0	16.2	-0.20	13.4	14.0	-0.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-30	25	12.1	14.4	-2.26	18.3	15.7	2.56
John Salmons	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-31	27	10.9	14.5	-3.66	18.8	15.7	3.04
Josh Davis	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-28	21	11.4	15.0	-3.53	17.8	15.6	2.22
Corliss Williamson	15	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-31	27	14.1	14.0	0.10	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Willie Green	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.37	-18	-17	-1	12.2	14.9	-2.74	18.0	15.3	2.73
Aaron McKie	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-28	21	14.0	14.0	0.08	19.2	15.3	3.89
Marc Jackson	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.25	-17	-18	1	15.1	12.7	2.41	14.2	18.7	-4.53
Samuel Dalembert	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-22	9	13.0	14.3	-1.34	19.0	15.2	3.81
Andre Iguodala	78	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.30	-21	-14	-7	14.2	12.9	1.34	15.8	17.9	-2.06
Kenny Thomas	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	-11	-13	15.2	12.4	2.84	15.5	17.1	-1.66
Kyle Korver	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.37	-27	-8	-19	14.6	12.6	2.02	14.9	18.8	-3.84
Allen Iverson	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.39	-28	-7	-21	14.5	12.1	2.41	15.5	18.7	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NYK 128, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
ATL 102, WAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%