NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	128		Excitement	3.3 [1124]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +18.2%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.2 [207]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -8.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.02	0.05	10	95%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	20	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.19	0.01	0.18	12	96%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.07	7	73%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	39%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	12	58%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	26.1	15.7	23.1	1.7	27.2	122.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.1%

DAL -0.8%

DAL -3.3%

NYK +12.8%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.3	134.7	97.9	106.0
season	14.7	15.2		105.9	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	15.2	15.4	17.9	15.7
DAL	14.2	13.6	17.4	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.42	34	0	34	15.5	16.9	-1.37	14.4	14.6	-0.18
David Lee	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	12	10	16.5	14.0	2.51	14.9	13.4	1.57
Toney Douglas	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.30	22	12	10	15.8	15.5	0.29	14.5	14.3	0.26
Al Harrington	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.38	24	10	14	16.1	15.1	0.98	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Tracy McGrady	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.20	18	16	2	16.1	15.4	0.78	15.2	13.7	1.50
Henry Walker	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.29	16	18	-2	15.2	16.3	-1.03	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Danilo Gallinari	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.36	17	17	0	16.1	15.3	0.74	14.9	13.9	0.99
Eddie House	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.24	12	22	-10	15.4	16.0	-0.54	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Chris Duhon	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	29	-24	13.1	16.6	-3.47	13.7	14.7	-0.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-27	20	12.3	14.7	-2.42	14.8	15.8	-1.02
DeShawn Stevenson	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-32	30	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.3	16.1	-1.82
Erick Dampier	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.21	-11	-23	12	13.2	14.8	-1.64	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Jose Juan Barea	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.23	-13	-21	8	13.6	15.2	-1.54	16.8	14.8	1.98
Brendan Haywood	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-24	14	15.3	14.2	1.07	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Eduardo Najera	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-19	4	13.8	14.9	-1.12	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Rodrigue Beaubois	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.46	-25	-9	-16	14.9	13.9	1.01	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Shawn Marion	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-16	-2	14.8	13.8	1.06	16.3	14.6	1.70
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.29	-23	-11	-12	14.8	13.2	1.64	16.0	14.8	1.22
Jason Kidd	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-13	-8	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.7	12.8	3.91
Caron Butler	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.27	-25	-9	-16	14.8	13.8	1.03	15.8	15.6	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 110, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIN 117, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%