NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	4.2 [953]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): +8.3%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.4 [756]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -10.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	24	54%	0.07	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.06	19	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.01	0.06	19	53%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	15	45%	-0.04	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	26.0	14.8	24.2	2.2	26.6	119.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.6%

DET +4.0%

DET +13.4%

DET +4.5%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.4	15.5	114.0	96.8	100.9
season	14.3	15.4		97.9	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	12.1	12.7	17.3	14.5
ATL	16.1	15.0	18.7	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	52	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	2	12	12.9	16.6	-3.69	16.6	16.2	0.48
Billy Owens	44	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	4	8	14.4	14.7	-0.35	15.6	17.2	-1.63
Jerry Stackhouse	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	3	10	15.9	10.0	5.94	16.3	16.7	-0.34
Ben Wallace	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	9	-2	15.5	12.4	3.15	16.4	16.5	-0.17
Chucky Atkins	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	3	10	16.0	11.4	4.60	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Mikki Moore	33	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	5	6	12.1	15.9	-3.81	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Mateen Cleaves	31	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	12	-8	11.3	16.2	-4.94	16.6	16.3	0.29
Joe Smith	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	12	-8	15.9	13.0	2.85	16.3	16.5	-0.24
Dana Barros	20	21	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	14	-12	10.1	15.8	-5.60	17.1	16.2	0.87
Michael Curry	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	16	-16	15.8	13.7	2.01	17.6	15.7	1.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-12	8	15.6	16.5	-0.89	14.3	14.6	-0.28
Dion Glover	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-10	4	16.9	16.3	0.59	13.4	14.7	-1.35
Alan Henderson	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-8	0	17.2	14.8	2.37	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Brevin Knight	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-10	4	16.3	16.8	-0.48	14.6	14.4	0.16
Nazr Mohammed	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-12	8	16.4	16.7	-0.31	15.1	12.4	2.68
Toni Kukoc	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-13	10	16.8	15.2	1.58	15.4	12.4	2.99
Jason Terry	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-9	2	16.2	17.6	-1.44	14.8	13.2	1.53
DerMarr Johnson	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	5	-26	15.9	16.7	-0.77	11.5	16.0	-4.50
Hanno Mottola	38	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	0	-16	15.5	17.1	-1.60	14.6	14.5	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CHI 99, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%