inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement3.6 [1076] MVPBen Gordon (DET): +21.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 74 Comeback1.3 [764] LVPDeMarre Carroll (MEM): -7.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.140.04-0.031276%0.2120.00580%0.01
Richard Hamilton0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.011958%0.1300.00580%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.011052%0.0400.00786%0.01
Charlie Villanueva0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00750%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.011057%0.061-0.0210%-0.01
Jason Maxiell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%0.0010.0020%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01350%-0.0210.0020%-0.03
Ben Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03230%-0.002-0.05617%-0.04
Will Bynum-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.04638%-0.051-0.011100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.001264%0.101-0.021100%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.010.07972%0.083-0.071182%0.02
Trey Gilder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01125%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.05825%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.10-0.00-0.0730%-0.023-0.0100%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01437%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.041231%-0.012-0.045100%0.02
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.010.021347%-0.022-0.04450%-0.02
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.03512%-0.0800.00633%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.22.529.216.527.42.537.3145.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.9%
MEM -2.3%
MEM -13.9%
DET +17.1%
DET +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMEMNBADETMEMNBA
this game18.216.115.3114.388.1106.0
season16.815.4104.0106.8
opponent15.015.2108.4109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.319.719.515.718.2
MEM13.820.315.615.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton61600.440.060.38-0.2423-12418.617.01.6717.712.25.53
Ben Gordon44460.360.140.23-0.252112017.518.9-1.5016.515.70.75
Tayshaun Prince56560.330.170.170.10814-618.417.60.8415.018.3-3.25
Ben Wallace49500.300.200.100.03913-418.318.00.2415.716.8-1.08
Will Bynum40400.280.220.05-0.11139418.318.00.3016.216.10.11
Jason Maxiell33330.250.25-0.00-0.041012-217.818.4-0.6716.515.90.60
Charlie Villanueva30300.210.29-0.09-0.17139418.018.3-0.3116.815.71.11
Kwame Brown42420.180.32-0.13-0.08913-419.516.92.6216.815.41.38
Rodney Stuckey51510.130.37-0.240.04319-1617.818.7-0.9214.818.2-3.40
Chris Wilcox14120.020.48-0.46-0.01121-2015.318.7-3.4614.116.5-2.38

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Gilder11110.00-0.500.50-0.031-232410.517.0-6.4113.418.9-5.53
Hamed Haddadi109-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-171218.515.82.7020.717.92.80
Hasheem Thabeet2323-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-181415.816.2-0.4015.619.1-3.58
Sam Young1916-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-13416.716.00.7315.818.7-2.91
Steven Hunter1716-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-161014.916.4-1.5518.218.20.03
Marcus Williams3332-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-7-815.716.4-0.7516.619.1-2.49
Mike Conley5555-0.27-0.23-0.050.17-15-7-817.114.22.8718.717.11.62
Marc Gasol5052-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-11016.116.1-0.0518.917.01.88
O.J. Mayo6060-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-13415.916.6-0.6519.415.14.26
DeMarre Carroll3635-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-15-7-816.415.90.4717.019.0-2.05
Zach Randolph4952-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-11016.815.21.6218.817.21.58
Rudy Gay5759-0.31-0.19-0.130.01-11-11015.816.7-0.8618.916.32.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 91, SAS 810.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
ATL 101, MIL 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
DET 106, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.6%