NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	3.9 [1056]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.3 [463]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -8.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.05	20	48%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.01	13	62%	-0.04
Deron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	14	56%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.03	17	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.12	2	-0.02	13	77%	0.04
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	12	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.0	14.8	26.2	1.7	33.3	128.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.1%

POR -2.0%

UTA +25.1%

POR -0.5%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.7	14.5	15.6	114.6	98.9	104.4
season	17.0	16.6		101.7	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		109.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	19.0	17.3	18.0	17.7
POR	14.2	14.4	15.4	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	58	58	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-1	15	18.3	16.5	1.74	14.1	15.3	-1.29
Carlos Boozer	65	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-1	15	16.7	20.4	-3.68	14.9	13.4	1.49
Andrei Kirilenko	85	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	4	5	17.7	17.2	0.46	14.5	14.2	0.27
Mehmet Okur	80	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	6	1	17.9	16.1	1.75	14.4	15.6	-1.16
Deron Williams	76	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	6	1	17.4	19.2	-1.81	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Jarron Collins	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	19.2	16.8	2.43	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Keith McLeod	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	7	-1	19.2	17.4	1.81	14.8	14.5	0.30
Kris Humphries	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	10	-7	16.6	18.4	-1.74	15.2	14.0	1.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-18	23	14.6	14.4	0.23	18.5	16.5	2.04
Viktor Khryapa	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-9	5	15.1	14.1	1.03	18.2	17.3	0.90
Jarrett Jack	62	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-12	11	14.4	14.9	-0.50	16.6	19.9	-3.23
Juan Dixon	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-7	1	13.0	15.3	-2.35	17.1	18.0	-0.95
Travis Outlaw	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-7	1	13.9	14.8	-0.94	16.1	18.6	-2.44
Darius Miles	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-7	1	14.0	14.8	-0.78	18.8	17.0	1.81
Martell Webster	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	14.8	13.9	0.84	17.2	18.9	-1.73
Sebastian Telfair	28	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-1	-11	14.9	14.4	0.50	19.9	16.6	3.23
Zach Randolph	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	14.8	13.3	1.49	17.5	18.6	-1.10
Brian Skinner	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	4	-21	15.1	14.1	0.97	18.1	17.4	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHI 106, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%