NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	3.7 [1097]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (DET): +16.8%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.5 [764]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -11.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.21	0.00	0.06	13	96%	0.17	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	68%	0.05	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	16	34%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Markelle Fultz	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.29	0.00	0.12	11	109%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	14	58%	0.07	5	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	10	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	26.6	15.3	27.6	2.4	30.2	130.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.8%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +0.2%

PHI +16.0%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.7	110.6	106.9	107.5
season	13.9	14.9		108.1	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	11.8	14.7	14.2	13.5
DET	14.8	15.4	17.3	11.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	73	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-2	11	14.0	12.4	1.61	14.7	14.3	0.48
Marco Belinelli	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-3	13	13.4	13.7	-0.36	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Markelle Fultz	37	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-2	11	13.5	13.5	0.03	14.2	14.8	-0.66
JJ Redick	76	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	9	-11	13.4	14.0	-0.61	13.8	16.5	-2.65
Richaun Holmes	37	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-1	9	14.1	13.2	0.87	14.8	14.5	0.31
Amir Johnson	65	62	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	6	-5	13.5	13.6	-0.11	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Robert Covington	66	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	12	-17	13.5	13.5	-0.01	14.6	14.5	0.08
Ben Simmons	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	13.5	13.5	-0.03	14.8	14.2	0.66
T.J. McConnell	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	1	5	13.0	13.7	-0.70	16.3	14.0	2.27
Justin Anderson	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	11.0	13.7	-2.70	16.6	14.4	2.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Moreland	20	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-8	9	13.6	14.8	-1.24	14.0	13.4	0.55
James Ennis III	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.4	14.3	2.12	11.1	14.0	-2.83
Reggie Jackson	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	16.7	13.1	3.56	12.9	13.9	-0.98
Reggie Bullock	65	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-10	13	13.8	16.0	-2.14	14.0	12.6	1.43
Anthony Tolliver	75	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.3	12.5	2.77	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Stanley Johnson	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.8	14.2	0.62	13.8	12.9	0.86
Henry Ellenson	29	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-1	-5	12.4	15.5	-3.01	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Ish Smith	60	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-5	3	13.1	16.7	-3.56	13.9	12.9	0.98
Luke Kennard	52	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	14.8	14.4	0.36	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Andre Drummond	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	4	-15	15.0	13.3	1.61	13.6	13.4	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
CLE 111, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	96.7%
MIA 91, BOS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0	96.6%