NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	3.3 [1094]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +2.4%
New York Knicks	74		Comeback	1.5 [104]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -10.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Joe Kleine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	24	43%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	16	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Eric Montross	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	12	66%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	11	17%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	34.0	18.0	27.1	2.3	29.6	143.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +14.9%

NJN +3.2%

NJN +26.7%

NJN +3.8%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.6	102.3	86.0	104.4
season	15.4	15.1		101.7	102.0
opponent	16.1	14.9		98.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	16.0	14.8	19.8	16.5
NYK	18.1	16.7	17.9	14.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-3	21	16.0	17.9	-1.84	17.0	16.2	0.86
Kerry Kittles	52	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-4	23	16.6	16.3	0.29	15.9	18.2	-2.25
Joe Kleine	45	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	1	13	16.7	16.2	0.57	18.4	15.3	3.12
Jim Jackson	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	7	1	16.3	16.8	-0.45	17.6	15.2	2.35
Kevin Edwards	18	20	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	14.8	16.9	-2.12	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Sam Cassell	66	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	9	-3	16.9	15.1	1.80	17.2	15.8	1.37
Kendall Gill	67	65	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	15	-15	16.5	16.2	0.27	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Eric Montross	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	13	-11	16.2	16.6	-0.45	16.4	17.2	-0.82
Tony Massenburg	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	20	-25	17.5	16.0	1.54	14.7	17.8	-3.06
Jack Haley	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	15.0	16.5	-1.48	10.0	16.9	-6.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	13	12	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-18	21	13.2	17.5	-4.25	13.5	16.9	-3.43
John Wallace	7	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-9	3	16.6	16.9	-0.29	17.2	16.4	0.76
Herb Williams	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-10	5	14.5	17.0	-2.45	23.0	16.1	6.86
Chris Childs	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	16.5	17.5	-0.93	15.7	17.9	-2.16
Allan Houston	73	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-9	3	16.9	16.2	0.71	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Charlie Ward	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-4	-7	17.1	16.7	0.35	17.4	15.9	1.49
Charles Oakley	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	17.7	15.2	2.57	16.6	16.1	0.53
John Starks	43	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	15.3	18.3	-3.02	18.3	14.6	3.76
Larry Johnson	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-8	1	16.9	16.1	0.79	15.9	22.2	-6.38
Patrick Ewing	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	0	-15	17.9	12.9	4.92	16.2	17.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 115, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
LAL 102, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 130, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%