NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	3.5 [1113]		MVP	Maurice Evans (LAL): +15.4%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.8 [742]		LVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): -12.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.00	0.05	13	74%	0.15	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Brian Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	23	49%	0.09	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	13	31%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	17	51%	0.03	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	13	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	8	22%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	32.0	15.8	26.2	2.7	27.3	130.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.9%

LAL +10.9%

GSW -0.3%

LAL +5.9%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.4	105.2	87.6	104.5
season	15.3	13.5		106.3	105.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.7	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	15.3	15.7	18.7	16.2
GSW	12.1	14.0	15.6	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	2	13	15.5	19.0	-3.48	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Ronny Turiaf	34	36	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	-5	27	17.5	15.4	2.06	15.3	12.5	2.83
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	0	17	16.0	16.7	-0.78	14.3	11.3	2.97
Maurice Evans	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	8	1	15.2	19.5	-4.37	13.2	14.6	-1.38
Shammond Williams	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	-1	19	17.9	15.2	2.74	14.5	13.0	1.55
Aaron McKie	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	9	-1	19.0	15.2	3.87	14.2	13.3	0.96
Andrew Bynum	54	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	18	-19	15.5	17.0	-1.54	13.0	14.2	-1.24
Jordan Farmar	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	19	-21	14.2	16.8	-2.59	10.9	14.4	-3.47
Brian Cook	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	13	-9	18.3	15.0	3.23	12.9	13.9	-0.99
Smush Parker	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	16	-15	15.8	16.4	-0.57	14.3	13.1	1.20
Sasha Vujacic	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	15.3	16.3	-1.03	10.6	14.0	-3.45

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick O'Bryant	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	10.5	14.0	-3.54	16.4	16.1	0.25
Josh Powell	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.13	3	-20	23	11.8	14.1	-2.23	16.4	16.1	0.32
Kelenna Azubuike	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-19	21	11.5	14.6	-3.07	17.5	15.4	2.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	21	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-18	19	12.5	13.8	-1.34	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Matt Barnes	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-15	13	10.7	14.6	-3.86	16.5	16.0	0.52
Mickael Pietrus	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-10	3	14.3	12.8	1.56	16.5	15.9	0.60
Jason Richardson	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-9	1	13.6	13.2	0.41	16.7	14.9	1.74
Andris Biedrins	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-4	-9	14.2	12.4	1.81	16.2	16.1	0.12
Monta Ellis	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	3	-23	13.9	12.6	1.29	16.8	14.7	2.09
Al Harrington	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.30	-26	9	-35	14.6	12.0	2.64	15.2	17.5	-2.36
Stephen Jackson	62	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	4	-25	14.7	11.5	3.15	14.9	18.2	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NOH 94, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
BOS 105, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%