NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.4 [770]		MVP	Doug McDermott (DAL): +19.0%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	1.2 [582]		LVP	Frank Mason (SAC): -13.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.01	7	107%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	68%	0.15	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	39%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Johnathan Motley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Harrison	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	81%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	15	58%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	24%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	13	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	28.4	14.7	26.1	2.4	25.3	120.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.7%

SAC -0.1%

SAC -7.5%

SAC -0.4%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	14.7	105.1	98.0	107.5
season	15.4	15.4		105.3	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	15.6	16.0	14.0	15.2
SAC	16.3	13.2	12.8	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-5	16	15.1	15.4	-0.34	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Dennis Smith Jr.	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-8	22	15.3	15.0	0.23	14.3	13.9	0.44
Aaron Harrison	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	6	-6	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.2	15.1	-1.89
Harrison Barnes	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-2	10	15.2	15.0	0.28	14.2	13.7	0.50
Dirk Nowitzki	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-5	16	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.5	13.8	0.74
Kyle Collinsworth	53	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	12	-18	15.3	15.0	0.30	13.8	14.4	-0.67
Salah Mejri	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	5	-4	16.0	14.6	1.35	14.8	13.6	1.26
Johnathan Motley	25	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	10	-14	13.8	15.6	-1.78	11.6	15.0	-3.47
Doug McDermott	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	15.5	14.9	0.54	15.8	12.8	2.98
Yogi Ferrell	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.9	14.7	1.15	15.4	13.3	2.13
Jalen Jones	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	16	-26	12.6	15.5	-2.94	9.3	14.7	-5.40

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	12	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.0	0.38	15.7	15.1	0.61
JaKarr Sampson	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-9	12	14.8	13.6	1.21	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Buddy Hield	52	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-9	12	13.7	14.5	-0.82	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.2	13.6	1.54	14.1	15.6	-1.51
De'Aaron Fox	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	14.4	13.8	0.56	15.8	14.5	1.38
Willie Cauley-Stein	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	14.0	14.1	-0.08	16.2	14.1	2.04
Frank Mason	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-5	4	13.6	14.7	-1.08	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Bruno Caboclo	26	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-5	4	14.2	14.0	0.15	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Skal Labissiere	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	13.1	16.0	-2.92	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	2	-10	14.6	13.4	1.17	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Justin Jackson	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	5	-16	14.2	13.9	0.21	15.6	14.3	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.35,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
GSW 108, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DEN 111, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	94.0%