NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	10.2 [59]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +43.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	3.5 [274]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (OKC): -37.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.43	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.44	0.22	0.19	-0.02	24	68%	0.45	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	11	73%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,0.22	0.02	0.19	-0.01	19	49%	0.26	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.06
Jusuf Nurkic	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.01	13	61%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.22	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	9	41%	-0.19	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.06,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.22	-0.02	20	50%	0.39	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.06	0.04	5	94%	0.19	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	1	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.06	15	42%	0.05	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	14	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	4	60%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.20
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	13	23%	-0.22	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.4	15.4	35.1	0.8	33.2	136.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.9%

OKC -10.8%

POR +7.3%

POR +18.2%

POR +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	16.6	13.7	14.7	113.7	110.5	107.5
season	15.2	14.2		107.8	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.3		106.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	16.3	18.0	17.5	16.6
OKC	14.0	13.7	12.8	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	71	70	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.38	17	-14	31	17.3	14.5	2.81	14.8	10.6	4.23
Damian Lillard	77	79	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-13	29	15.9	19.6	-3.65	13.3	15.7	-2.45
Jusuf Nurkic	59	58	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.25	17	-14	31	16.8	16.3	0.47	14.1	13.2	0.91
Maurice Harkless	67	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-11	25	16.8	16.1	0.70	14.2	12.6	1.63
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-10	23	16.4	17.0	-0.53	13.6	14.0	-0.46
Zach Collins	20	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	12	-21	16.0	16.7	-0.70	13.3	13.8	-0.52
Pat Connaughton	27	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	9	-15	15.4	17.1	-1.67	12.4	14.2	-1.78
Evan Turner	28	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	14	-25	16.1	16.8	-0.70	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Ed Davis	36	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	17	-31	16.3	16.8	-0.47	13.4	13.9	-0.53
Shabazz Napier	24	22	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.17	-22	25	-47	19.0	15.8	3.16	13.6	13.7	-0.10

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	17	17	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.07	14	-17	31	13.2	13.8	-0.66	19.8	15.9	3.85
Jerami Grant	37	36	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.06	12	-15	27	13.6	13.8	-0.20	16.7	16.5	0.20
Raymond Felton	36	35	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.08	9	-12	21	13.0	14.2	-1.15	16.2	16.8	-0.68
Terrance Ferguson	34	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-7	11	13.4	13.9	-0.43	15.3	17.3	-1.94
Patrick Patterson	25	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.1	13.6	0.49	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Russell Westbrook	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	14.0	13.1	0.84	17.5	14.3	3.22
Steven Adams	70	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	3	-9	13.6	14.1	-0.49	16.8	16.0	0.81
Carmelo Anthony	58	59	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	12	-27	13.8	13.6	0.20	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Corey Brewer	52	54	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.33	-17	14	-31	14.1	13.3	0.80	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Paul George	78	78	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.34	-17	14	-31	13.8	13.2	0.66	15.9	19.8	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.45,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	90.2%
MIA 93, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	90.1%
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	90.1%