NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	3.6 [1114]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (PHI): +8.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	120		Comeback	1.2 [1163]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -15.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	10	50%	0.08	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	73%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	5	73%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	12	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	15	39%	-0.08	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.01	0.09	6	100%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.06	10	72%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	43%	0.00	3	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	27.2	0.2	33.0	1.8	38.2	129.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.5%

PHI +0.1%

MIN -2.6%

MIN -0.3%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	11.8	14.7	97.3	107.1	107.5
season	15.3	13.9		111.8	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		103.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	16.0	12.4	11.6	14.0
PHI	9.5	11.2	11.6	15.1	11.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	55	57	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.39	14	-26	40	12.3	15.7	-3.44	14.3	9.3	5.03
Cole Aldrich	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.50	17	-29	46	11.2	14.9	-3.70	15.5	10.7	4.80
Aaron Brooks	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-27	42	11.6	14.8	-3.22	15.1	10.8	4.30
Marcus Georges-Hunt	35	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.47	16	-28	44	10.7	15.6	-4.84	14.9	10.5	4.45
Gorgui Dieng	60	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-18	24	12.8	15.4	-2.60	12.9	10.5	2.41
Jamal Crawford	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.21	-14	2	-16	13.7	14.3	-0.67	11.7	11.9	-0.13
Nemanja Bjelica	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.35	-22	10	-32	14.7	12.9	1.81	10.5	13.8	-3.27
Karl-Anthony Towns	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	6	-24	15.5	12.6	2.90	10.6	13.1	-2.52
Taj Gibson	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	6	-24	16.1	12.1	4.06	10.6	12.9	-2.31
Andrew Wiggins	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.36	-30	18	-48	15.5	11.4	4.07	10.0	15.1	-5.07
Jeff Teague	56	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.24	-26	14	-40	15.7	12.3	3.44	9.3	14.3	-5.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.25	27	-15	42	10.2	14.6	-4.41	15.1	12.2	2.86
Joel Embiid	59	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-9	30	10.3	13.5	-3.11	15.2	12.8	2.32
Robert Covington	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	-11	34	10.6	13.6	-3.00	15.1	12.5	2.57
Dario Saric	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	-7	26	10.4	12.9	-2.52	14.9	13.4	1.52
Marco Belinelli	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	-5	22	12.0	11.7	0.30	14.8	13.2	1.57
JJ Redick	44	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	2	8	10.5	12.7	-2.20	14.1	14.0	0.19
Ersan Ilyasova	54	54	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	17	-22	12.6	11.0	1.61	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Amir Johnson	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	7	-2	12.1	11.7	0.44	13.9	14.1	-0.12
Justin Anderson	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.39	-11	23	-34	13.5	10.8	2.66	12.2	15.1	-2.90
Furkan Korkmaz	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	27	-42	15.7	10.8	4.83	11.6	14.7	-3.05
Richaun Holmes	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	29	-46	15.4	11.0	4.39	11.5	14.6	-3.15
T.J. McConnell	42	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.37	-14	26	-40	14.6	10.2	4.41	12.2	15.1	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 66, POR 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MEM 82, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHH 100, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%