NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	3.3 [1092]		MVP	Vin Baker (MIL): +20.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	120		Comeback	1.1 [994]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -7.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Donald Royal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Tony Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	8	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Ricky Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	41%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.05	0.04	13	89%	0.23	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	11	88%	0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	13	68%	0.10	6	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	16	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	27.1	15.8	21.1	1.5	23.2	112.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +51.2%

CHH -12.9%

MIL +8.9%

MIL +3.9%

CHH -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.6	102.0	125.0	104.4
season	15.7	16.0		108.0	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		106.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.8	15.3	14.2	14.1	14.6
MIL	14.0	15.3	16.5	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	41	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-23	26	14.6	14.6	0.03	15.7	14.7	0.99
Donald Royal	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-23	26	13.7	14.9	-1.28	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Rafael Addison	51	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-16	12	14.0	15.2	-1.23	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Tony Delk	64	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-15	10	14.1	15.5	-1.35	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Tony Smith	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-12	4	14.8	14.3	0.54	15.5	14.6	0.95
Ricky Pierce	57	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-4	-12	15.0	14.0	0.98	15.1	15.0	0.10
Anthony Mason	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	-1	-18	15.1	13.6	1.48	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Glen Rice	63	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	3	-26	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.2	14.9	0.34
Vlade Divac	69	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.33	-31	11	-42	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.9	15.6	-0.63

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	64	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.32	28	-8	36	14.5	16.4	-1.91	14.8	14.3	0.50
Vin Baker	71	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-3	26	15.2	14.7	0.52	14.8	14.1	0.69
Ray Allen	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-2	24	15.0	15.5	-0.58	14.8	14.1	0.67
Sherman Douglas	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	-6	32	15.2	15.0	0.18	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Andrew Lang	31	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	8	4	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.1	14.3	0.75
Armen Gilliam	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.21	13	7	6	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Elliot Perry	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	26	-32	15.0	15.2	-0.18	14.7	14.5	0.18
Johnny Newman	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	19	-18	15.9	14.6	1.34	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Joe Wolf	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	23	-26	14.7	15.2	-0.52	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Acie Earl	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	16.3	14.9	1.39	14.0	14.7	-0.68
David Wood	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.30	-11	31	-42	16.3	14.8	1.45	14.0	14.7	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIN 108, PHI 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%