NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	3.8 [1063]		MVP	Steve Nash (LAL): +10.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	1.4 [1060]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -5.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	17	65%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	16	62%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fab Melo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	14	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.07	12	54%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	100%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	53%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	15	43%	0.08	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	14	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	13	71%	0.09	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.05
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.8	30.3	17.7	27.3	2.0	33.2	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.3%

LAL +13.2%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +2.8%

BOS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.4	103.1	116.5	104.1
season	14.9	14.9		101.2	106.0
opponent	15.3	16.2		105.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	15.2	15.8	13.4	15.3
LAL	12.2	14.8	16.2	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fab Melo	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	11.3	15.9	-4.65	16.7	14.2	2.46
Terrence Williams	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-20	26	13.0	16.1	-3.06	15.7	14.2	1.46
Chris Wilcox	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-14	14	15.2	15.3	-0.03	16.2	14.3	1.90
Jason Terry	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-6	-2	15.7	14.9	0.75	13.4	15.7	-2.32
Jason Collins	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-5	-4	18.3	14.9	3.39	11.5	15.0	-3.53
Kevin Garnett	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-5	-4	15.5	15.0	0.44	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Courtney Lee	62	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-15	16	14.8	16.0	-1.19	14.8	14.1	0.74
Jeff Green	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-3	-8	15.2	15.4	-0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Brandon Bass	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	2	-18	16.1	14.0	2.17	14.9	14.2	0.64
Avery Bradley	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.9	13.9	1.04
Paul Pierce	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	4	-22	15.8	14.0	1.76	14.7	14.3	0.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	0	14	14.8	13.4	1.44	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Dwight Howard	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	-8	30	14.7	14.4	0.38	16.6	13.2	3.44
Steve Nash	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	14.9	14.1	0.80	15.5	14.8	0.68
Kobe Bryant	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	3	8	14.7	14.3	0.48	15.7	14.4	1.29
Earl Clark	77	76	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	14	-14	14.9	13.4	1.50	14.7	17.5	-2.83
Antawn Jamison	46	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	6	2	13.2	15.9	-2.73	15.7	14.9	0.86
Steve Blake	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	15	-16	14.7	14.4	0.30	13.9	16.7	-2.82
Jodie Meeks	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	9	-4	13.8	15.2	-1.36	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Chris Duhon	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	16.7	14.5	2.22	11.3	15.5	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 100, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 88, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%