NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	4.0 [988]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +11.8%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	1.3 [1214]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -11.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	79%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	63%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.06	11	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jay Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	10	32%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	12	76%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	79%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	60%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	29%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	67%	0.00	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	24.6	16.4	26.4	2.3	24.4	118.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +42.0%

SAC +0.1%

SAC +13.0%

CHI -6.0%

SAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.5	103.2	115.6	101.6
season	15.0	14.0		98.3	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.1		98.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	15.8	17.4	14.1	15.8
SAC	12.8	17.0	14.7	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	18	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-17	21	15.8	15.8	0.02	16.2	13.9	2.27
Marcus Fizer	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-22	31	13.2	16.2	-3.04	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Fred Hoiberg	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-25	37	15.2	16.3	-1.09	15.7	13.2	2.56
Jamal Crawford	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-26	39	14.9	16.6	-1.68	16.2	12.6	3.69
Lonny Baxter	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-15	17	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.7	13.7	2.06
Eddie Robinson	65	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.20	3	-16	19	15.3	16.7	-1.33	14.7	13.8	0.93
Tyson Chandler	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	2	-17	16.5	15.2	1.24	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Trenton Hassell	30	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	3	-19	16.7	15.3	1.33	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Jay Williams	49	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	13	-39	16.6	14.9	1.68	12.6	16.2	-3.69
Jalen Rose	49	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	12	-37	16.3	15.2	1.09	13.2	15.7	-2.56
Donyell Marshall	62	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.19	-26	13	-39	16.4	14.6	1.76	13.9	15.3	-1.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-10	33	14.2	14.8	-0.60	16.3	14.2	2.10
Vlade Divac	52	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	14.1	14.7	-0.63	16.7	14.7	2.02
Bobby Jackson	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	1	11	14.2	14.8	-0.64	15.9	15.5	0.40
Peja Stojakovic	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-4	21	14.4	14.4	-0.05	16.4	14.7	1.77
Chris Webber	46	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-5	23	13.5	15.3	-1.82	17.0	14.5	2.54
Keon Clark	50	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	18	-23	15.3	13.5	1.82	14.5	17.0	-2.54
Damon Jones	36	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	12	-11	14.8	14.2	0.64	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Lawrence Funderburke	44	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	17	-21	14.7	14.1	0.63	15.0	16.4	-1.44
Hedo Turkoglu	51	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	20	-27	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.6	17.0	-2.36
Gerald Wallace	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	13.9	14.5	-0.56	13.1	16.2	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
BOS 99, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 66, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%