inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 63 Excitement3.1 [1161] MVPBrian Grant (MIA): +2.3%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback1.1 [1177] LVPP.J. Brown (NOH): -12.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Traylor0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.0110.0000%0.00
Shammond Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Maurice Carter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
George Lynch-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021136%-0.0400.00333%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.03824%-0.041-0.011100%0.01
David West-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02350%-0.013-0.05475%0.01
Steven Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03922%-0.0610.0000%0.00
Baron Davis-0.060,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.130.01-0.061435%-0.061-0.00978%0.03
David Wesley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.04940%-0.023-0.052100%-0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01836%-0.051-0.026100%0.01
P.J. Brown-0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.18-0.01-0.071217%-0.083-0.0400%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.051350%0.042-0.01475%-0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.03-0.01-0.051553%0.023-0.004100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01075%0.0100.00475%0.01
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loren Woods00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.031456%0.011-0.026100%0.03
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.021154%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00870%0.055-0.094100%0.01
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04735%-0.072-0.00683%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.729.218.328.63.430.6137.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.5%
MIA +3.2%
NOH -0.2%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMIANBANOHMIANBA
this game16.716.215.771.6106.9100.5
season16.016.299.399.3
opponent15.915.798.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH18.514.616.217.316.7
MIA14.218.115.817.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West25250.03-0.530.55-0.156-364214.917.4-2.4518.115.52.58
Shammond Williams780.00-0.500.500.12-4-262214.116.9-2.7514.216.4-2.19
Maurice Carter440.00-0.500.500.12-4-262214.016.8-2.8012.516.4-3.92
Robert Traylor1718-0.01-0.490.470.16-6-241815.716.9-1.2014.816.6-1.85
Darrell Armstrong3937-0.04-0.460.410.16-7-231615.617.5-1.8917.615.22.45
George Lynch2322-0.11-0.390.270.18-10-201017.416.40.9815.016.7-1.72
Stacey Augmon4647-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-241815.418.1-2.6817.115.21.93
Steven Smith2625-0.24-0.260.020.29-18-12-617.616.31.3414.916.8-1.85
Baron Davis6969-0.44-0.06-0.390.11-19-11-816.816.10.7216.515.31.14
Jamaal Magloire6362-0.48-0.02-0.460.34-28-2-2616.616.8-0.1316.116.5-0.33
P.J. Brown5755-0.49-0.01-0.480.21-24-6-1818.114.14.0216.316.10.28
David Wesley6463-0.560.06-0.620.32-300-3017.614.23.3315.717.8-2.14

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom57590.60-0.100.71-0.102461815.917.0-1.1117.614.72.95
Eddie Jones71720.56-0.060.62-0.5036-64215.519.7-4.3017.413.53.88
Dwyane Wade57570.470.030.44-0.182281416.914.92.0517.215.61.58
Brian Grant63630.460.040.42-0.332732416.715.11.6017.015.81.27
Caron Butler72740.380.120.27-0.262281416.515.11.3417.014.82.24
Rafer Alston53530.090.41-0.320.03228-2616.815.41.4115.019.2-4.15
Udonis Haslem36360.060.44-0.39-0.15723-1616.616.00.5816.017.1-1.09
Rasual Butler440.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2212.516.4-3.9214.016.8-2.80
Malik Allen440.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2212.516.4-3.9214.016.8-2.80
Loren Woods440.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2212.516.4-3.9214.016.8-2.80
Wang Zhi-zhi440.000.50-0.50-0.12426-2212.516.4-3.9214.016.8-2.80
Samaki Walker1010-0.120.62-0.730.06-636-4217.416.11.3113.117.1-4.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 68, NJN 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
CLE 83, WAS 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
CHH 100, MIL 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%