NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	66		Excitement	2.7 [1228]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +4.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	1.1 [1266]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -14.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	6	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	2	33%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	11%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	9	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	3	50%	-0.01	5	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.7	28.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	28.6	127.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.9%

POR +7.5%

POR +16.6%

POR +9.2%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	18.7	16.9	15.5	81.5	106.2	106.4
season	16.1	16.7		101.7	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.1	19.0	19.8	17.6	18.7
POR	18.8	15.2	15.4	18.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	21	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	19.3	18.4	0.85	17.7	16.6	1.11
Darius Miles	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-20	20	18.0	18.7	-0.70	12.7	17.2	-4.57
Hamed Haddadi	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-23	26	17.9	18.9	-1.00	17.7	16.6	1.10
Hakim Warrick	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-20	20	17.9	19.2	-1.35	16.5	17.2	-0.78
Greg Buckner	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-23	26	16.1	19.3	-3.15	18.6	16.5	2.14
Quinton Ross	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-16	12	17.7	19.3	-1.60	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Darko Milicic	17	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	16.6	19.2	-2.61	17.6	16.7	0.82
Darrell Arthur	22	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-12	4	19.7	18.3	1.41	18.9	16.1	2.81
Rudy Gay	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-1	-18	19.7	15.4	4.29	17.1	16.2	0.93
O.J. Mayo	59	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.23	-24	4	-28	19.0	17.6	1.40	16.4	18.1	-1.72
Marc Gasol	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.23	-24	4	-28	19.4	16.9	2.57	16.4	17.9	-1.47
Mike Conley	60	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.14	-22	2	-24	18.4	19.3	-0.85	16.6	17.7	-1.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	55	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-2	24	16.4	18.0	-1.67	18.9	18.1	0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.22	23	-3	26	17.2	15.6	1.59	19.6	15.0	4.55
Steve Blake	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	1	18	17.1	16.6	0.51	18.5	18.9	-0.46
Joel Przybilla	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	8	4	17.1	16.7	0.44	19.1	18.3	0.77
Nicolas Batum	28	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	10	0	17.9	16.4	1.57	19.1	18.4	0.63
Rudy Fernandez	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	17	-14	16.2	17.7	-1.48	18.7	18.6	0.01
Greg Oden	35	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	12	-4	16.4	17.3	-0.83	18.9	18.5	0.39
Travis Outlaw	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	14	-8	16.2	17.5	-1.29	18.7	18.6	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	29	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	17	-14	17.4	16.6	0.80	18.3	18.8	-0.56
Michael Ruffin	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	18.2	16.8	1.37	14.0	19.0	-4.96
Jerryd Bayless	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	18.2	16.8	1.37	13.7	19.1	-5.39
Channing Frye	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	17.2	16.9	0.36	14.0	19.2	-5.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 73, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 108, PHI 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%