inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 73 Excitement2.8 [1241] MVPGoran Dragic (MIA): +11.1%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.0 [1084] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -14.0%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01869%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.01853%0.0400.001100%0.00
Marvin Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01362%0.0200.002100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.02948%0.041-0.023100%0.02
Troy Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jorge Gutierrez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Aaron Harrison0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05570%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03743%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Frank Kaminsky-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001535%-0.0500.004100%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01729%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.17-0.02-0.041626%-0.083-0.062100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.020.011766%0.142-0.03425%-0.03
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.01-0.05450%0.0510.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05979%0.072-0.031100%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01850%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.021150%0.012-0.002100%0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05625%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.040.000.061650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031041%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.527.316.728.62.028.3131.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +29.8%
CHA -1.8%
MIA +15.0%
MIA +5.1%
MIA +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game14.815.414.976.8110.4105.1
season15.115.5105.5104.5
opponent15.114.8103.1103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.514.814.813.214.8
MIA16.315.913.416.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jorge Gutierrez13130.00-0.500.500.15-5-282312.315.1-2.8414.515.5-1.08
Aaron Harrison13130.00-0.500.500.15-5-282312.315.1-2.8414.515.5-1.08
Jeremy Lamb13130.00-0.500.500.15-5-282312.315.1-2.8414.515.5-1.08
Troy Daniels1819-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-282311.915.4-3.4716.415.21.21
Cody Zeller3738-0.07-0.430.350.19-9-241514.115.2-1.0213.716.5-2.83
Jeremy Lin3941-0.12-0.380.270.15-9-241514.914.70.2414.016.4-2.35
Frank Kaminsky6165-0.18-0.320.150.20-13-20714.315.6-1.3815.614.90.68
Courtney Lee5757-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-20-13-714.614.9-0.2715.714.90.75
Nicolas Batum5958-0.39-0.11-0.280.37-26-7-1915.513.61.8914.217.2-2.92
Kemba Walker6969-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-16-115.413.12.2616.313.13.23
Al Jefferson3433-0.43-0.07-0.350.19-21-12-916.613.82.8016.814.72.12
Marvin Williams6261-0.540.04-0.570.34-30-3-2715.613.12.5116.513.52.92

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson64640.53-0.030.56-0.443303316.014.21.7215.213.91.32
Goran Dragic63640.480.020.46-0.403032714.916.3-1.3414.914.50.36
Luol Deng51530.480.020.45-0.322762115.715.10.6215.913.42.51
Hassan Whiteside55550.420.080.34-0.2222111115.615.10.4415.313.91.40
Dwyane Wade48500.410.090.33-0.172013715.515.30.1715.713.72.03
Josh Richardson39360.090.41-0.310.12-134-3515.915.10.8415.214.50.70
Josh McRoberts41400.080.42-0.34-0.241122-1115.115.6-0.4413.915.3-1.40
Justise Winslow45420.020.48-0.45-0.15627-2115.115.7-0.6213.415.9-2.51
Dorell Wright13130.000.50-0.50-0.15528-2314.515.5-1.0812.315.1-2.84
Tyler Johnson13130.000.50-0.50-0.15528-2314.515.5-1.0812.315.1-2.84
Gerald Green4845-0.020.52-0.53-0.22726-1915.215.5-0.2914.015.5-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 79, IND 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MEM 66, POR 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CHI 72, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%