NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	4.6 [915]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +10.7%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	1.1 [1110]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	15	67%	0.15	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.06	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.04
Joe Ingles	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	16	27%	-0.09	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	10	68%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	14	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.3	14.8	29.0	2.6	27.4	126.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.8%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.7	101.0	94.8	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.4	15.0	14.7	17.4	15.3
SAC	14.4	15.0	14.1	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-1	9	15.8	13.8	2.03	14.5	14.4	0.09
Rudy Gobert	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	15.8	14.1	1.67	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Derrick Favors	61	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	2	3	15.2	15.6	-0.34	15.2	13.3	1.91
Joe Ingles	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	5	-3	16.2	13.5	2.68	14.5	14.5	0.07
Ricky Rubio	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	8	-9	15.6	14.6	1.03	14.6	14.3	0.29
Royce O'Neale	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	0	7	14.4	15.9	-1.51	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Jonas Jerebko	37	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	3	1	14.3	16.0	-1.73	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Jae Crowder	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	8	-9	14.8	16.2	-1.47	13.7	15.8	-2.18
Raul Neto	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	13.0	15.7	-2.67	15.7	14.3	1.43

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	58	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-14	21	13.3	16.4	-3.09	16.0	14.1	1.91
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	14.3	14.8	-0.47	15.6	15.0	0.58
Frank Mason	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	14.3	14.7	-0.40	15.7	15.0	0.70
Zach Randolph	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.5	14.5	0.08	14.8	15.9	-1.11
De'Aaron Fox	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-4	1	14.7	14.3	0.40	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Skal Labissiere	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	13.3	16.7	-3.46	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Kosta Koufos	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	3	-13	17.2	12.0	5.22	15.7	15.0	0.70
Vince Carter	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	2	-11	15.3	13.6	1.67	15.4	15.3	0.07
Buddy Hield	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	0	-7	14.3	14.7	-0.40	15.2	15.6	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 96, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
ORL 89, NJN 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%