NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	9.0 [154]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +30.8%
Dallas Mavericks	130		Comeback	2.8 [514]		LVP	Yogi Ferrell (DAL): -9.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.00	8	70%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.02	13	53%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.08,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	46%	0.18	1	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05
Brandon Ingram	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	16	69%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	12	79%	0.24	6	-0.26	4	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.09	-0.15	0.02	14	72%	0.16	5	-0.24	8	75%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.18	-0.01	12	68%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.10	0.02	11	92%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.01	9	84%	0.19	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	1	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.0	14.7	26.9	1.8	33.5	129.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -11.0%

DAL +14.6%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +42.4%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	15.3	14.7	121.8	130.0	107.5
season	13.7	15.4		105.7	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.8		108.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	15.5	12.3	12.4	13.4
DAL	14.6	16.5	13.9	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	52	52	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-14	21	13.7	13.0	0.71	16.6	13.8	2.78
Ivica Zubac	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-7	7	13.5	13.4	0.12	7.0	15.4	-8.36
Alex Caruso	1	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	3.0	13.5	-10.49	11.0	15.3	-4.32
Corey Brewer	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-4	1	12.7	13.7	-0.93	16.5	14.8	1.69
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	13.3	13.6	-0.26	15.5	14.6	0.93
Josh Hart	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	13.6	13.0	0.59	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Brandon Ingram	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	13.5	13.1	0.41	14.6	17.5	-2.92
Isaiah Thomas	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-7	7	13.4	13.3	0.14	15.4	15.1	0.31
Julius Randle	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	1	-9	13.3	13.7	-0.40	14.7	17.3	-2.55
Kyle Kuzma	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	3	-13	13.4	13.4	-0.06	15.3	15.3	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	28	29	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-5	17	14.9	15.4	-0.59	14.0	13.1	0.91
Dennis Smith Jr.	70	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	14.8	16.5	-1.70	13.8	12.3	1.46
Doug McDermott	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	15.7	14.9	0.81	12.4	14.2	-1.78
Kyle Collinsworth	22	20	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-2	11	15.9	15.1	0.75	15.0	13.0	2.07
Salah Mejri	17	17	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	5	-3	13.2	15.7	-2.53	14.1	13.2	0.88
Yogi Ferrell	55	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	9	-11	14.7	16.0	-1.27	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Wesley Matthews	54	56	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.2	12.4	1.78
Harrison Barnes	54	56	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.2	12.4	1.78
J.J. Barea	53	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	7	-7	16.3	14.1	2.17	12.5	14.3	-1.73
Dirk Nowitzki	53	50	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	7	-7	16.3	14.1	2.17	12.7	14.0	-1.32
Dwight Powell	48	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	12	-17	15.6	15.0	0.54	12.5	14.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.64,0.4,0.61,0.41,0.54,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.85,0.98,1	92.2%
SAS 79, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,1	91.1%
MIL 100, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.92,1	90.8%