NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	7.4 [382]		MVP	Paul Zipser (CHI): +15.5%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	2.4 [190]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -19.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick McCaw	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	9	60%	0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	27	42%	-0.08	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	22	28%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	58%	0.17	2	-0.11	10	100%	0.08
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	5	62%	0.10	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	15	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	15	35%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	26.3	16.8	27.0	2.7	32.5	136.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.2%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +12.5%

GSW -13.9%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	13.0	16.2	14.8	87.9	95.9	107.7
season	13.5	15.1		114.9	105.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		105.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.2	12.9	12.1	15.2	13.0
CHI	16.6	16.5	15.1	16.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	32	32	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.12	5	-12	17	14.4	12.4	2.03	17.5	15.6	1.89
Shaun Livingston	38	37	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-10	13	14.4	12.2	2.26	17.2	15.6	1.59
Zaza Pachulia	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-7	7	12.5	13.3	-0.81	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Ian Clark	14	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-12	17	12.4	13.1	-0.78	16.1	16.2	-0.10
JaVale McGee	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-4	1	11.7	13.4	-1.68	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Patrick McCaw	61	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	0	-7	12.4	14.1	-1.66	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Stephen Curry	72	73	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	12.6	14.3	-1.74	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Draymond Green	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	13.3	12.4	0.94	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Matt Barnes	24	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	2	-11	13.4	12.9	0.51	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Andre Iguodala	53	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	1	-9	13.3	12.7	0.63	16.7	15.7	1.04
Klay Thompson	78	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	7	-21	12.9	13.6	-0.75	15.7	18.2	-2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	66	67	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.29	21	-14	35	15.4	17.8	-2.40	12.5	14.1	-1.53
Dwyane Wade	68	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-8	23	15.5	18.0	-2.51	13.5	11.8	1.70
Jimmy Butler	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	16.2	16.3	-0.09	12.4	14.8	-2.42
Paul Zipser	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	16.3	16.2	0.16	14.0	12.2	1.81
Cristiano Felicio	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	16.3	16.1	0.24	14.1	11.9	2.16
Robin Lopez	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	16.1	16.3	-0.24	11.9	14.1	-2.16
Rajon Rondo	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	5	-3	16.8	16.0	0.83	13.4	12.9	0.53
Jerian Grant	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	15.9	16.4	-0.47	12.4	13.3	-0.82
Denzel Valentine	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	15	-23	18.0	15.5	2.51	11.8	13.5	-1.70
Nikola Mirotic	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	19	-31	16.9	15.9	0.99	13.9	12.7	1.20
Cameron Payne	24	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.18	-4	11	-15	17.2	15.9	1.25	13.6	12.8	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, DAL 130	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.85,0.64,0.4,0.61,0.41,0.54,0.77,0.96,1	92.2%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	91.7%
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	91.7%