NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	8.1 [207]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +7.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	3.2 [146]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -37.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.04	0.06	0.02	23	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
David Wingate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	70%	0.00	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.21	-0.03	14	38%	-0.25	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.37	-0.21	-0.16	-0.00	17	42%	-0.09	7	-0.28	9	89%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	19	48%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.00	17	54%	0.22	4	-0.17	3	67%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	14	64%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	13	51%	0.00	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	60%	0.05	5	-0.22	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.5	15.5	27.5	1.7	41.2	136.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +51.1%

SEA -0.2%

SEA -2.9%

SEA -2.7%

MIL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.6	100.0	105.4	102.5
season	15.3	16.0		109.3	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.3	15.4	14.9	16.1	15.2
MIL	17.0	17.3	14.5	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-11	16	16.4	14.6	1.76	17.4	15.8	1.69
Greg Anthony	13	14	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-9	12	18.0	14.7	3.29	18.7	15.9	2.86
Dale Ellis	43	44	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-13	20	15.4	15.0	0.46	16.9	15.7	1.22
Jim McIlvaine	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-6	6	14.5	15.5	-1.10	16.1	16.4	-0.35
David Wingate	17	18	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-3	0	18.4	14.4	3.91	16.5	16.2	0.26
Detlef Schrempf	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.4	18.4	-3.91	16.0	17.4	-1.37
Sam Perkins	40	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.5	16.9	-1.45
Vin Baker	72	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	4	-14	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.8	14.5	2.23
Hersey Hawkins	59	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	4	-14	14.4	16.7	-2.33	15.8	17.1	-1.21
Gary Payton	78	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	14.7	18.0	-3.29	15.7	20.1	-4.41

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	61	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-2	10	17.0	14.9	2.05	14.5	16.7	-2.12
Ervin Johnson	81	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	0	6	16.0	18.5	-2.56	15.4	13.2	2.27
Terrell Brandon	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-2	10	15.9	19.4	-3.49	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Ray Allen	75	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-6	18	16.2	16.5	-0.29	15.6	13.4	2.16
Armen Gilliam	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	16.4	15.6	0.75	15.3	13.8	1.55
Ricky Pierce	15	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	5	-4	14.0	16.7	-2.74	14.2	15.3	-1.16
Jamie Feick	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	6	-6	15.7	16.4	-0.69	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Andrew Lang	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	20.5	15.7	4.83	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Elliot Perry	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	8	-10	21.3	15.7	5.59	15.8	15.1	0.70
Michael Curry	36	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	13	-20	15.1	17.0	-1.90	15.3	15.1	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	91.8%
GSW 87, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.85,0.98,1	91.7%
MIL 73, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	91.4%