NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	7.3 [399]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +27.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	1.5 [253]		LVP	Josh Huestis (OKC): -14.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.05	0.17	-0.05	12	69%	0.30	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	13	55%	0.18	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	18	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	-0.04	15	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	8	50%	-0.05
Alex Caruso	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	25	62%	0.26	7	-0.18	8	75%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	19	62%	0.11	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	34%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	3.4	28.6	15.5	29.3	2.8	36.1	141.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.2%

OKC -10.1%

OKC -13.2%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.0	14.7	104.9	102.0	107.5
season	13.7	14.2		105.7	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		106.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	16.0	14.9	15.2	15.1
OKC	12.4	12.2	13.3	14.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-7	18	14.7	16.0	-1.24	12.4	14.8	-2.34
Josh Hart	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	15.2	14.5	0.65	12.4	15.9	-3.54
Julius Randle	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-3	10	15.0	15.1	-0.06	12.4	14.7	-2.37
Brandon Ingram	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	15.1	15.0	0.13	12.2	15.6	-3.39
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-6	16	14.4	16.2	-1.85	12.8	13.5	-0.70
Jordan Clarkson	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	7	-10	15.6	14.6	0.98	13.3	12.8	0.46
Larry Nance Jr.	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.0	0.09	15.8	12.2	3.55
Corey Brewer	17	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	7	-10	15.5	15.0	0.49	17.1	12.3	4.86
Alex Caruso	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	7	-10	14.5	15.2	-0.65	15.9	12.4	3.54
Kyle Kuzma	33	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	11	-18	16.1	14.6	1.56	14.1	12.6	1.53

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	56	59	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.30	15	-19	34	13.0	13.0	-0.03	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Patrick Patterson	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-8	12	15.7	12.2	3.50	15.1	15.1	0.03
Raymond Felton	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-6	8	16.0	12.0	4.04	15.4	14.9	0.42
Paul George	86	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-7	10	12.4	16.6	-4.19	15.4	13.4	1.99
Terrance Ferguson	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	6	-16	13.4	12.9	0.49	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Josh Huestis	16	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	16.6	12.4	4.19	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Steven Adams	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	12.0	17.5	-5.53	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	2	-8	12.2	15.1	-2.91	15.1	15.0	0.13
Jerami Grant	34	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	3	-10	14.2	12.4	1.76	15.3	14.9	0.34
Russell Westbrook	85	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	6	-16	12.5	15.9	-3.42	15.2	14.6	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 116, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.31,0.06,0.15,0.05,0	93.3%
IND 99, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	93.3%
MIA 89, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%